BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Georgia State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Georgia State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.00 |
25.52 (-4.48) |
24.27 |
21.21 (-3.07) |
21.21 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
418.08 |
384.59 (-33.49) |
363.27 |
350.40 (-12.87) |
350.40 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.71 |
5.16 (-0.55) |
5.40 |
5.14 (-0.26) |
5.14 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
31.17 |
33.96 (+2.80) |
30.36 |
31.96 (+1.59) |
31.96 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
398.33 |
400.82 (+2.48) |
409.91 |
411.06 (+1.15) |
411.06 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.69 |
5.71 (+0.02) |
6.42 |
6.33 (-0.09) |
6.33 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-08-31 |
Rhode Island |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 42-35 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Connecticut |
29.03 |
16.46 |
-12.58 |
45.49 |
70.17% |
W 35-14 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
@Charlotte |
27.58 |
17.58 |
-10.00 |
45.16 |
66.04% |
W 41-25 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-21 |
@Coastal Carolina |
23.26 |
28.07 |
+4.82 |
51.33 |
42.27% |
W 30-17 |
4-0 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Troy |
14.11 |
28.07 |
+13.96 |
42.18 |
27.62% |
L 7-28 |
4-1 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Marshall |
27.48 |
26.50 |
-0.98 |
53.97 |
51.57% |
W 41-24 |
5-1 |
| 2023-10-22 |
@Louisiana |
28.97 |
33.90 |
+4.93 |
62.87 |
42.09% |
W 20-17 |
6-1 |
| 2023-10-26 |
@Georgia Southern |
30.66 |
35.06 |
+4.40 |
65.72 |
42.94% |
L 27-44 |
6-2 |
| 2023-11-04 |
James Madison |
19.37 |
37.58 |
+18.21 |
56.94 |
20.80% |
L 14-42 |
6-3 |
| 2023-11-11 |
Appalachian State |
27.23 |
37.15 |
+9.92 |
64.38 |
34.09% |
L 14-42 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-19 |
@LSU |
20.98 |
62.56 |
+41.58 |
83.54 |
0.10% |
L 14-56 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Old Dominion |
22.61 |
25.81 |
+3.20 |
48.42 |
44.86% |
L 24-25 |
6-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.21% |
| 2-10 |
1.87% |
| 3-9 |
7.72% |
| 4-8 |
17.42% |
| 5-7 |
25.33% |
| 6-6 |
24.08% |
| 7-5 |
15.18% |
| 8-4 |
6.29% |
| 9-3 |
1.61% |
| 10-2 |
0.27% |
| 11-1 |
0.02% |