BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
UAB 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
UAB 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
28.00 |
20.22 (-7.78) |
29.45 |
24.09 (-5.37) |
24.09 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
439.00 |
387.71 (-51.29) |
426.64 |
395.52 (-31.11) |
395.52 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.69 |
6.17 (-0.52) |
6.26 |
5.79 (-0.47) |
5.79 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
25.55 |
27.20 (+1.66) |
39.73 |
43.24 (+3.51) |
43.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
380.09 |
363.21 (-16.88) |
446.82 |
459.89 (+13.07) |
459.89 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.62 |
5.61 (-0.01) |
6.35 |
6.61 (+0.26) |
6.61 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.5 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-01 |
North Carolina A&T |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 35-6 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Georgia Southern |
34.22 |
45.99 |
+11.77 |
80.21 |
31.12% |
L 35-49 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Louisiana |
36.12 |
42.67 |
+6.55 |
78.79 |
39.49% |
L 21-41 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Georgia |
10.99 |
64.14 |
+53.15 |
75.12 |
0.10% |
L 21-49 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Tulane |
18.45 |
39.62 |
+21.17 |
58.07 |
16.05% |
L 23-35 |
1-4 |
| 2023-10-07 |
South Florida |
42.28 |
41.20 |
-1.08 |
83.49 |
51.73% |
W 56-35 |
2-4 |
| 2023-10-15 |
@UT San Antonio |
26.64 |
43.63 |
+16.99 |
70.27 |
22.74% |
L 20-41 |
2-5 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Memphis |
34.53 |
52.02 |
+17.49 |
86.55 |
21.94% |
L 21-45 |
2-6 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Florida Atlantic |
31.78 |
31.12 |
-0.66 |
62.90 |
51.06% |
W 45-42 |
3-6 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Navy |
23.88 |
25.33 |
+1.46 |
49.21 |
47.66% |
L 6-31 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Temple |
41.65 |
24.79 |
-16.86 |
66.43 |
77.05% |
W 34-24 |
4-7 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@North Texas |
39.06 |
47.32 |
+8.26 |
86.38 |
36.75% |
L 42-45 |
4-8 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.38% |
| 2-10 |
3.41% |
| 3-9 |
12.10% |
| 4-8 |
22.85% |
| 5-7 |
26.77% |
| 6-6 |
20.21% |
| 7-5 |
10.28% |
| 8-4 |
3.29% |
| 9-3 |
0.64% |
| 10-2 |
0.07% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |