BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
New Mexico State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
New Mexico State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
19.10 |
13.55 (-5.55) |
25.75 |
18.53 (-7.22) |
18.53 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
283.90 |
262.78 (-21.12) |
402.50 |
351.44 (-51.06) |
351.44 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.87 |
4.48 (-0.39) |
6.73 |
6.21 (-0.52) |
6.21 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
27.50 |
37.42 (+9.92) |
19.58 |
24.24 (+4.66) |
24.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
364.20 |
438.53 (+74.33) |
365.42 |
407.51 (+42.09) |
407.51 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.30 |
6.26 (+0.95) |
5.71 |
6.15 (+0.44) |
6.15 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.4 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-08-26 |
UMass |
36.76 |
19.23 |
-17.53 |
55.99 |
78.12% |
L 30-41 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-03 |
Western Illinois |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 58-21 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Liberty |
20.25 |
35.20 |
+14.96 |
55.45 |
26.01% |
L 17-33 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-17 |
@New Mexico |
29.03 |
18.79 |
-10.24 |
47.82 |
66.43% |
W 27-17 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-24 |
@Hawai'i |
26.68 |
18.10 |
-8.58 |
44.78 |
63.76% |
L 17-20 |
2-3 |
| 2023-10-05 |
Florida International |
33.17 |
12.82 |
-20.35 |
46.00 |
82.64% |
W 34-17 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-12 |
Sam Houston State |
24.59 |
13.27 |
-11.33 |
37.86 |
68.17% |
W 27-13 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-19 |
@UTEP |
22.96 |
14.58 |
-8.38 |
37.55 |
63.44% |
W 28-7 |
5-3 |
| 2023-10-24 |
@Louisiana Tech |
30.23 |
19.96 |
-10.28 |
50.19 |
66.49% |
W 27-24 |
6-3 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Middle Tennessee |
27.40 |
18.37 |
-9.03 |
45.77 |
64.48% |
W 13-7 |
7-3 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Western Kentucky |
24.98 |
26.25 |
+1.27 |
51.23 |
47.96% |
W 38-29 |
8-3 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Auburn |
8.60 |
28.01 |
+19.41 |
36.61 |
18.86% |
W 31-10 |
9-3 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Jacksonville State |
23.34 |
21.58 |
-1.76 |
44.92 |
52.82% |
W 20-17 |
10-3 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 10-3 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 2-11 |
0.03% |
| 3-10 |
0.20% |
| 4-9 |
1.19% |
| 5-8 |
4.49% |
| 6-7 |
11.36% |
| 7-6 |
20.03% |
| 8-5 |
24.78% |
| 9-4 |
21.02% |
| 10-3 |
11.85% |
| 11-2 |
4.19% |
| 12-1 |
0.80% |
| 13-0 |
0.06% |