BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Texas State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Texas State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
19.91 |
14.93 (-4.98) |
32.27 |
27.34 (-4.94) |
27.34 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
309.64 |
288.91 (-20.73) |
449.73 |
436.05 (-13.68) |
436.05 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.57 |
4.32 (-0.25) |
6.23 |
5.84 (-0.39) |
5.84 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
28.73 |
33.84 (+5.11) |
33.82 |
39.36 (+5.54) |
39.36 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
381.73 |
429.46 (+47.74) |
405.73 |
433.58 (+27.85) |
433.58 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.50 |
6.12 (+0.62) |
6.12 |
6.57 (+0.46) |
6.57 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.3 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Baylor |
32.31 |
42.30 |
+9.99 |
74.62 |
33.98% |
W 42-31 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@UT San Antonio |
29.78 |
39.95 |
+10.18 |
69.73 |
33.68% |
L 13-20 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-17 |
Jackson State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 77-34 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Nevada |
36.20 |
20.70 |
-15.50 |
56.90 |
74.86% |
W 35-24 |
3-1 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Southern Mississippi |
41.62 |
32.98 |
-8.64 |
74.60 |
63.85% |
W 50-36 |
4-1 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Louisiana |
36.10 |
41.47 |
+5.37 |
77.57 |
41.39% |
L 30-34 |
4-2 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Louisiana Monroe |
41.14 |
22.34 |
-18.80 |
63.48 |
80.15% |
W 21-20 |
5-2 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Troy |
19.06 |
35.26 |
+16.20 |
54.32 |
24.02% |
L 13-31 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Georgia Southern |
40.26 |
38.65 |
-1.60 |
78.91 |
52.57% |
W 45-24 |
6-3 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Coastal Carolina |
29.66 |
35.61 |
+5.95 |
65.27 |
40.46% |
L 23-31 |
6-4 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Arkansas State |
35.69 |
36.28 |
+0.59 |
71.97 |
49.06% |
L 31-77 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-26 |
South Alabama |
28.22 |
38.93 |
+10.71 |
67.15 |
32.82% |
W 52-44 |
7-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 7-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.04% |
| 2-10 |
0.46% |
| 3-9 |
2.84% |
| 4-8 |
9.28% |
| 5-7 |
18.44% |
| 6-6 |
25.10% |
| 7-5 |
22.65% |
| 8-4 |
13.71% |
| 9-3 |
5.75% |
| 10-2 |
1.51% |
| 11-1 |
0.22% |
| 12-0 |
0.02% |