| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | @Minnesota | +12.9 | 29% | L 10-23 (0-1) | +16.5 ✓ / 46 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsSt. Francis (PA) | - | - | W 45-6 (1-1) | -37.0 ✓ / 48 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | @Kent State | +1.2 | 48% | W 31-28 (2-1) | -23.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 4 | 09/20 | vsTroy | +3.7 | 44% | L 17-21 (2-2) | -5.5 ✗ / 44 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | vsUConn | +8.9 | 36% | L 17-20 (2-3) | +3.0 P / 52 U |
| 6 | 10/04 | vsEastern Michigan | -0.9 | 51% | W 31-30 (3-3) | -9.5 ✗ / 54 O |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/18 | @Massachusetts | -16.3 | 76% | W 28-21 (4-3) | -16.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 9 | 10/25 | vsAkron | -6.8 | 61% | L 16-24 (4-4) | -10.0 ✗ / 48 U |
| 10 | 11/01 | @Bowling Green | +2.5 | 46% | W 28-3 (5-4) | +2.5 ✓ / 44 U |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/13 | @Central Michigan | +6.5 | 40% | L 19-38 (5-5) | +2.5 ✗ / 44 O |
| 13 | 11/20 | vsMiami (OH) | +5.0 | 42% | L 20-37 (5-6) | +2.5 ✗ / 38 O |
| 14 | 11/28 | vsOhio | +7.5 | 38% | L 26-31 (5-7) | +7.0 ✓ / 44 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 23.1 | 17.7 | -5.5 |
| Offense YPG | 355.2 | 306.1 | -49.2 |
| Offense YPP | 5.19 | 4.72 | -0.47 |
| Defense PPG | 25.5 | 30.4 | +4.9 |
| Defense YPG | 342.6 | 410.3 | +67.7 |
| Defense YPP | 5.16 | 5.86 | +0.70 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -8.3 | 135 |
| Median (Current) | -5.0 | 106 |
| Mean (Historical) | -9.0 | 134 |
| Median (Historical) | -6.8 | 112 |
If Buffalo replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Buffalo isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Buffalo do with another team's schedule?