Bowling Green

#119 4-8 Mid-American
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-11.1
Rank #119
Offense (Adj PPG)
17.0
Rank #125
Defense (Adj PPG)
29.8
Rank #95
Actual Record
4-8
All games played
Final Record
4-8
Season complete
Expected Wins
5.6
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/28vsLafayette--W 26-7 (1-0)-21.0 ✗ / 53 U
209/06@Cincinnati+19.519%L 20-34 (1-1)+21.5 ✓ / 46 O
309/13vsLiberty+2.546%W 23-13 (2-1)+6.0 ✓ / 52 U
409/20@Louisville+23.013%L 17-40 (2-2)+26.5 ✓ / 50 O
509/27@Ohio+12.630%L 20-35 (2-3)+7.5 ✗ / 50 O
6IDLE
710/11vsToledo+15.825%W 28-23 (3-3)+10.5 ✓ / 46 O
810/18vsCentral Michigan+1.548%L 6-27 (3-4)-3.0 ✗ / 44 U
910/25@Kent State+0.949%L 21-24 (3-5)-7.5 ✗ / 48 U
1011/01vsBuffalo-2.554%L 3-28 (3-6)-2.5 ✗ / 44 U
1111/08@Eastern Michigan+3.944%L 21-27 (3-7)+3.0 ✗ / 50 U
12IDLE
1311/19vsAkron-6.761%L 16-19 (3-8)-2.5 ✗ / 48 U
1411/25@Massachusetts-16.376%W 45-14 (4-8)-14.0 ✓ / 44 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG20.017.0-3.0
Offense YPG301.2288.8-12.4
Offense YPP4.954.96+0.01
Defense PPG24.629.8+5.1
Defense YPG332.9377.8+44.9
Defense YPP5.586.20+0.61

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-6.3128
Median (Current)-6.8127
Mean (Historical)-8.5131
Median (Historical)-10.5135

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Bowling Green replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 4-8 Expected: 5.6 wins Culture Factor: -1.6 (Underperforming)
0-12
0.0%
1-11
0.2%
2-10
1.6%
3-9
6.6%
4-8
15.7%
5-7
24.0%
6-6
24.5%
7-5
16.7%
8-4
7.7%
9-3
2.4%
10-2
0.4%
11-1
0.1%
12-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
4
0-12
0.0%
1-11
0.0%
2-10
0.0%
3-9
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Bowling Green isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Bowling Green do with another team's schedule?