
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/28 | vsLafayette | - | - | W 26-7 (1-0) | -21.0 ✗ / 53 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Cincinnati | +19.5 | 19% | L 20-34 (1-1) | +21.5 ✓ / 46 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsLiberty | +2.5 | 46% | W 23-13 (2-1) | +6.0 ✓ / 52 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | @Louisville | +23.0 | 13% | L 17-40 (2-2) | +26.5 ✓ / 50 O |
| 5 | 09/27 | @Ohio | +12.6 | 30% | L 20-35 (2-3) | +7.5 ✗ / 50 O |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/11 | vsToledo | +15.8 | 25% | W 28-23 (3-3) | +10.5 ✓ / 46 O |
| 8 | 10/18 | vsCentral Michigan | +1.5 | 48% | L 6-27 (3-4) | -3.0 ✗ / 44 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | @Kent State | +0.9 | 49% | L 21-24 (3-5) | -7.5 ✗ / 48 U |
| 10 | 11/01 | vsBuffalo | -2.5 | 54% | L 3-28 (3-6) | -2.5 ✗ / 44 U |
| 11 | 11/08 | @Eastern Michigan | +3.9 | 44% | L 21-27 (3-7) | +3.0 ✗ / 50 U |
| 12 | IDLE | |||||
| 13 | 11/19 | vsAkron | -6.7 | 61% | L 16-19 (3-8) | -2.5 ✗ / 48 U |
| 14 | 11/25 | @Massachusetts | -16.3 | 76% | W 45-14 (4-8) | -14.0 ✓ / 44 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 20.0 | 17.0 | -3.0 |
| Offense YPG | 301.2 | 288.8 | -12.4 |
| Offense YPP | 4.95 | 4.96 | +0.01 |
| Defense PPG | 24.6 | 29.8 | +5.1 |
| Defense YPG | 332.9 | 377.8 | +44.9 |
| Defense YPP | 5.58 | 6.20 | +0.61 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -6.3 | 128 |
| Median (Current) | -6.8 | 127 |
| Mean (Historical) | -8.5 | 131 |
| Median (Historical) | -10.5 | 135 |
If Bowling Green replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Bowling Green isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Bowling Green do with another team's schedule?