Eastern Michigan

#116 4-8 Mid-American
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-10.9
Rank #116 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
21.7
Rank #102
Defense (Adj PPG)
34.2
Rank #123
Actual Record
4-8
All games played
Final Record
4-8
Season complete
Expected Wins
5.7
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/31@Texas State+13.928%L 27-52 (0-1)+14.0 ✗ / 58 O
209/06vsLong Island University--L 23-28 (0-2)-22.5 ✗ / 54 U
309/13@Kentucky+16.024%L 23-48 (0-3)+26.5 ✓ / 50 O
409/20vsLouisiana-0.150%W 34-31 (1-3)+2.5 ✓ / 52 O
509/27@Central Michigan+5.541%L 13-24 (1-4)+3.0 ✗ / 56 U
610/04@Buffalo+0.949%L 30-31 (1-5)+9.5 ✓ / 54 O
710/11vsNorthern Illinois-5.559%W 16-10 (2-5)+1.5 ✓ / 48 U
810/18@Miami (OH)+9.235%L 30-44 (2-6)+12.5 ✗ / 48 O
910/25vsOhio+7.239%L 21-28 (2-7)+11.5 ✓ / 60 U
10IDLE
1111/08vsBowling Green-3.956%W 27-21 (3-7)-3.0 ✓ / 50 U
1211/15@Ball State-5.459%W 24-9 (4-7)-2.5 ✓ / 48 U
13IDLE
1411/26vsWestern Michigan+6.240%L 21-31 (4-8)+10.0 P / 49 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG22.821.7-1.0
Offense YPG373.5366.6-6.9
Offense YPP5.845.75-0.09
Defense PPG24.834.2+9.4
Defense YPG363.6443.6+80.0
Defense YPP5.646.68+1.04

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-6.4129
Median (Current)-5.0107
Mean (Historical)-7.9129
Median (Historical)-8.4128

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Eastern Michigan replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 4-8 Expected: 5.7 wins Culture Factor: -1.7 (Underperforming)
0-12
0.0%
1-11
0.2%
2-10
1.6%
3-9
6.2%
4-8
14.1%
5-7
22.1%
6-6
24.0%
7-5
18.1%
8-4
9.4%
9-3
3.4%
10-2
0.8%
11-1
0.1%
12-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
4
1-11
0.0%
2-10
0.0%
3-9
0.0%
4-8
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Eastern Michigan isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Eastern Michigan do with another team's schedule?