| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsNicholls | - | - | W 38-20 (1-0) | -16.5 ✓ / 46 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Clemson | +14.1 | 27% | L 16-27 (1-1) | +31.0 ✓ / 52 U |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsMemphis | +8.4 | 36% | L 7-28 (1-2) | +4.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | @Buffalo | -3.7 | 56% | W 21-17 (2-2) | +5.5 ✓ / 44 U |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/04 | vsSouth Alabama | -6.0 | 60% | W 31-24 (3-2) | +2.5 ✓ / 46 O |
| 7 | 10/12 | @Texas State | +7.3 | 38% | W 48-41 (4-2) | +7.5 ✓ / 54 O |
| 8 | 10/18 | @UL Monroe | -10.9 | 67% | W 37-14 (5-2) | -4.5 ✓ / 46 O |
| 9 | 10/25 | vsLouisiana | -6.2 | 60% | W 35-23 (6-2) | -7.0 ✓ / 48 O |
| 10 | 11/02 | vsArkansas State | -6.6 | 61% | L 10-23 (6-3) | -7.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/14 | @Old Dominion | +13.3 | 29% | L 0-33 (6-4) | +9.5 ✗ / 54 U |
| 13 | 11/22 | vsGeorgia State | -13.9 | 72% | W 31-19 (7-4) | -9.5 ✓ / 51 U |
| 14 | 11/29 | @Southern Miss | +2.0 | 47% | W 28-18 (8-4) | +6.5 ✓ / 50 U |
| 15 | 12/06 | @#18 James Madison | +20.3 | 17% | L 14-31 (8-5) | +24.5 ✓ / 48 U |
| POST | 12/17 | @Jacksonville State | +0.3 | 50% | L 13-17 (8-6) | +3.0 ✗ / 48 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 21.0 | 20.9 | -0.1 |
| Offense YPG | 276.9 | 292.6 | +15.7 |
| Offense YPP | 4.39 | 4.60 | +0.21 |
| Defense PPG | 22.2 | 26.8 | +4.6 |
| Defense YPG | 374.6 | 396.2 | +21.6 |
| Defense YPP | 5.67 | 5.98 | +0.32 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -3.8 | 101 |
| Median (Current) | -6.2 | 122 |
| Mean (Historical) | -4.5 | 98 |
| Median (Historical) | -5.7 | 100 |
If Troy replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Troy isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Troy do with another team's schedule?