| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | @San José State | -1.5 | 52% | W 16-14 (1-0) | +11.5 ✓ / 50 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Pittsburgh | +19.2 | 19% | L 17-45 (1-1) | +21.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | @#25 Michigan | +22.3 | 14% | L 3-63 (1-2) | +27.5 ✗ / 42 O |
| 4 | 09/20 | vsWagner | - | - | W 49-10 (2-2) | -29.0 ✓ / 47 O |
| 5 | 09/27 | vsEastern Michigan | -5.5 | 59% | W 24-13 (3-2) | -3.0 ✓ / 56 U |
| 6 | 10/04 | @Akron | -5.7 | 59% | L 22-28 (3-3) | -7.0 ✗ / 48 O |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/18 | @Bowling Green | -1.5 | 52% | W 27-6 (4-3) | +3.0 ✓ / 44 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | vsMassachusetts | -25.3 | 91% | W 38-13 (5-3) | -16.5 ✓ / 46 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | @Western Michigan | +7.8 | 37% | L 21-24 (5-4) | +6.0 ✓ / 44 O |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/13 | vsBuffalo | -6.5 | 60% | W 38-19 (6-4) | -2.5 ✓ / 44 O |
| 13 | 11/20 | @Kent State | -3.5 | 56% | W 28-16 (7-4) | -7.5 ✓ / 50 U |
| 14 | 11/29 | vsToledo | +11.7 | 31% | L 3-21 (7-5) | +11.5 ✗ / 46 U |
| POST | 12/26 | @Northwestern | +13.7 | 28% | L 7-34 (7-6) | +13.5 ✗ / 44 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 23.0 | 18.7 | -4.3 |
| Offense YPG | 323.2 | 304.8 | -18.4 |
| Offense YPP | 5.60 | 5.18 | -0.42 |
| Defense PPG | 20.1 | 27.3 | +7.2 |
| Defense YPG | 341.6 | 404.8 | +63.2 |
| Defense YPP | 5.29 | 6.17 | +0.88 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -6.2 | 126 |
| Median (Current) | -10.7 | 136 |
| Mean (Historical) | -8.3 | 130 |
| Median (Historical) | -8.8 | 129 |
If Central Michigan replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Central Michigan isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Central Michigan do with another team's schedule?