| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/28 | @Rutgers | +5.8 | 41% | L 31-34 (0-1) | +11.5 ✓ / 46 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsWest Virginia | -4.7 | 57% | W 17-10 (1-1) | +3.5 ✓ / 58 U |
| 3 | 09/13 | @#2 Ohio State | +32.3 | 0% | L 9-37 (1-2) | +28.0 P / 49 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | vsGardner-Webb | - | - | W 52-35 (2-2) | -30.5 ✗ / 55 O |
| 5 | 09/27 | vsBowling Green | -12.6 | 70% | W 35-20 (3-2) | -7.5 ✓ / 50 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | @Ball State | -13.5 | 72% | L 14-20 (3-3) | -14.0 ✗ / 52 U |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/18 | vsNorthern Illinois | -13.8 | 72% | W 48-21 (4-3) | -10.5 ✓ / 42 O |
| 9 | 10/25 | @Eastern Michigan | -7.2 | 61% | W 28-21 (5-3) | -11.5 ✗ / 60 U |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/05 | vsMiami (OH) | -4.9 | 58% | W 24-20 (6-3) | -2.5 ✓ / 50 U |
| 12 | 11/12 | @Western Michigan | +2.7 | 46% | L 13-17 (6-4) | +1.5 ✗ / 46 U |
| 13 | 11/19 | vsMassachusetts | -32.6 | 100% | W 42-14 (7-4) | -33.5 ✗ / 54 O |
| 14 | 11/28 | @Buffalo | -7.5 | 62% | W 31-26 (8-4) | -7.0 ✗ / 44 O |
| POST | 12/24 | vsUNLV | +2.9 | 45% | W 17-10 (9-4) | +6.5 ✓ / 64 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 27.1 | 24.1 | -3.0 |
| Offense YPG | 396.8 | 383.3 | -13.5 |
| Offense YPP | 6.31 | 5.76 | -0.55 |
| Defense PPG | 18.6 | 27.1 | +8.4 |
| Defense YPG | 305.5 | 392.7 | +87.2 |
| Defense YPP | 5.34 | 6.41 | +1.07 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -6.0 | 123 |
| Median (Current) | -7.3 | 130 |
| Mean (Historical) | -10.9 | 136 |
| Median (Historical) | -10.4 | 134 |
If Ohio replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Ohio isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Ohio do with another team's schedule?