| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/28 | vsJacksonville State | -7.5 | 62% | W 17-10 (1-0) | -16.5 ✗ / 54 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsNorth Carolina A&T | - | - | W 68-7 (2-0) | -38.0 ✓ / 51 O |
| 3 | IDLE | |||||
| 4 | 09/20 | vsNorth Carolina | -9.0 | 64% | W 34-9 (3-0) | -7.0 ✓ / 46 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | @Kansas State | +11.8 | 31% | L 20-34 (3-1) | +5.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | vsKansas | +3.5 | 44% | L 20-27 (3-2) | +4.0 ✗ / 54 U |
| 7 | 10/11 | @Cincinnati | +9.0 | 36% | L 11-20 (3-3) | +10.0 ✓ / 56 U |
| 8 | 10/18 | vsWest Virginia | -5.4 | 59% | W 45-13 (4-3) | -6.5 ✓ / 46 O |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/01 | @Baylor | +5.2 | 42% | L 3-30 (4-4) | +3.0 ✗ / 58 U |
| 11 | 11/08 | vsHouston | +3.7 | 44% | L 27-30 (4-5) | -1.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 12 | 11/15 | @#1 Texas Tech | +30.7 | 1% | L 9-48 (4-6) | +24.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 13 | 11/22 | vsOklahoma State | -13.1 | 71% | W 17-14 (5-6) | -13.5 ✗ / 48 U |
| 14 | 11/29 | @#11 BYU | +19.2 | 19% | L 21-41 (5-7) | +17.5 ✗ / 46 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 19.1 | 21.4 | +2.3 |
| Offense YPG | 347.5 | 358.9 | +11.4 |
| Offense YPP | 5.38 | 5.74 | +0.36 |
| Defense PPG | 27.9 | 23.7 | -4.2 |
| Defense YPG | 363.1 | 346.9 | -16.2 |
| Defense YPP | 5.57 | 5.32 | -0.25 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +2.5 | 58 |
| Median (Current) | +2.7 | 47 |
| Mean (Historical) | +3.4 | 52 |
| Median (Historical) | +2.7 | 51 |
If UCF replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game UCF isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would UCF do with another team's schedule?