Texas Tech

#1 12-2 Big 12
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+23.4
Rank #1
Offense (Adj PPG)
40.0
Rank #4
Defense (Adj PPG)
12.0
Rank #3
Actual Record
12-2
All games played
Final Record
12-2
Season complete
Expected Wins
12.1
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30vsArkansas-Pine Bluff--W 67-7 (1-0)-
209/06vsKent State-46.4100%W 62-14 (2-0)-48.5 ✗ / 60 O
309/13vsOregon State-42.2100%W 45-14 (3-0)-24.5 ✓ / 62 U
409/20@#5 Utah-6.661%W 34-10 (4-0)+3.5 ✓ / 58 U
5IDLE
610/04@Houston-21.484%W 35-11 (5-0)-13.5 ✓ / 52 U
710/11vsKansas-29.197%W 42-17 (6-0)-13.5 ✓ / 58 O
810/18@Arizona State-17.879%L 22-26 (6-1)-7.5 ✗ / 52 U
910/25vsOklahoma State-41.7100%W 42-0 (7-1)-37.5 ✓ / 56 U
1011/01@Kansas State-19.681%W 43-20 (8-1)-7.5 ✓ / 52 O
1111/08vs#11 BYU-15.875%W 29-7 (9-1)-13.5 ✓ / 50 U
1211/15vsUCF-30.799%W 48-9 (10-1)-24.5 ✓ / 48 O
13IDLE
1411/29@West Virginia-30.599%W 49-0 (11-1)-24.5 ✓ / 54 U
1512/06vs#11 BYU-15.875%W 34-7 (12-1)-12.5 ✓ / 50 U
POST01/01vs#7 Oregon-6.961%L 0-23 (12-2)-1.5 ✗ / 50 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG33.440.0+6.6
Offense YPG387.5446.9+59.4
Offense YPP5.396.10+0.71
Defense PPG11.512.0+0.5
Defense YPG263.5270.6+7.1
Defense YPP4.194.35+0.16

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+3.544
Median (Current)+4.933
Mean (Historical)+5.625
Median (Historical)+8.118

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Texas Tech replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 12-2 Expected: 12.1 wins Culture Factor: -0.1 (Neutral)
6-8
0.0%
7-7
0.0%
8-6
0.3%
9-5
1.8%
10-4
7.7%
11-3
19.9%
12-2
32.2%
13-1
28.1%
14-0
9.9%

Final Record

Final Wins
12
8-6
0.0%
9-5
0.0%
10-4
0.0%
11-3
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Texas Tech isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Texas Tech do with another team's schedule?