| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/28 | @ NC State | -0.2 | 50% | L 17-24 (0-1) | +12.5 ✓ / 58 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsCampbell | - | - | W 56-3 (1-1) | -30.0 ✓ / 56 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | @ Coastal Carolina | -18.3 | 79% | W 38-0 (2-1) | -7.0 ✓ / 58 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | vs#11  BYU | +7.1 | 39% | L 13-34 (2-2) | +6.5 ✗ / 50 U |
| 5 | 09/25 | vs Army | -8.9 | 64% | W 28-6 (3-2) | -3.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/09 | @ Tulane | +1.3 | 48% | L 19-26 (3-3) | +7.0 P / 54 U |
| 8 | 10/16 | vs Tulsa | -20.7 | 83% | W 41-27 (4-3) | -16.5 ✗ / 54 O |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/01 | @ Temple | -10.7 | 67% | W 45-14 (5-3) | -5.5 ✓ / 58 O |
| 11 | 11/08 | vs Charlotte | -29.4 | 97% | W 48-22 (6-3) | -29.5 ✗ / 56 O |
| 12 | 11/15 | vs Memphis | -3.0 | 55% | W 31-27 (7-3) | -3.0 ✓ / 56 O |
| 13 | 11/22 | @ UTSA | -2.5 | 54% | L 24-58 (7-4) | -2.0 ✗ / 62 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | @ Florida Atlantic | -15.6 | 75% | W 42-3 (8-4) | -6.5 ✓ / 66 U |
| POST | 12/27 | vs Pittsburgh | +0.4 | 49% | W 23-17 (9-4) | +13.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 34.1 | 28.6 | -5.5 |
| Offense YPG | 443.5 | 435.9 | -7.6 |
| Offense YPP | 5.93 | 5.77 | -0.16 |
| Defense PPG | 24.2 | 23.0 | -1.2 |
| Defense YPG | 381.5 | 387.2 | +5.7 |
| Defense YPP | 5.55 | 5.86 | +0.32 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -2.0 | 84 |
| Median (Current) | -0.3 | 77 |
| Mean (Historical) | -2.9 | 87 |
| Median (Historical) | -1.8 | 82 |
If East Carolina replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game East Carolina isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would East Carolina do with another team's schedule?