Navy

#60 11-2 American Athletic
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+1.1
Rank #60 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
26.6
Rank #61
Defense (Adj PPG)
26.4
Rank #65
Actual Record
11-2
All games played
Final Record
11-2
Season complete
Expected Wins
7.2
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30vsVMI--W 52-7 (1-0)-42.5 ✓ / 54 O
209/06vsUAB-17.478%W 38-24 (2-0)-20.5 ✗ / 59 O
309/14@Tulsa-11.468%W 42-23 (3-0)-14.0 ✓ / 52 O
4IDLE
509/27vsRice-19.080%W 21-13 (4-0)-14.0 ✗ / 46 U
610/04vsAir Force-7.362%W 34-31 (5-0)-13.5 ✗ / 50 O
710/11@Temple-5.158%W 32-31 (6-0)-10.0 ✗ / 52 O
8IDLE
910/25vsFlorida Atlantic-16.276%W 42-32 (7-0)-14.5 ✗ / 64 O
1011/01@#22 North Texas+14.726%L 17-31 (7-1)+6.5 ✗ / 68 U
1111/09@#4 Notre Dame+27.17%L 10-49 (7-2)+30.5 ✗ / 54 O
1211/15vs#13 South Florida+11.332%W 41-38 (8-2)+8.5 ✓ / 62 O
13IDLE
1411/28@Memphis+7.638%W 28-17 (9-2)+3.5 ✓ / 58 U
15IDLE
1612/13vsArmy-3.455%W 17-16 (10-2)-6.5 ✗ / 38 U
POST01/02@Cincinnati+6.140%W 35-13 (11-2)-7.5 ✓ / 58 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG27.826.6-1.2
Offense YPG375.9400.8+24.9
Offense YPP6.096.55+0.46
Defense PPG28.426.4-2.0
Defense YPG396.8390.7-6.0
Defense YPP6.266.19-0.07

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-0.775
Median (Current)-3.395
Mean (Historical)+1.164
Median (Historical)-1.678

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Navy replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 11-2 Expected: 7.2 wins Culture Factor: +3.8 (Winners Win)
1-12
0.0%
2-11
0.1%
3-10
0.8%
4-9
3.5%
5-8
10.0%
6-7
19.1%
7-6
25.1%
8-5
22.0%
9-4
13.1%
10-3
5.0%
11-2
1.2%
12-1
0.2%
13-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
11
7-6
0.0%
8-5
0.0%
9-4
0.0%
10-3
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Navy isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Navy do with another team's schedule?