| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | vsStephen F. Austin | - | - | W 27-0 (1-0) | -24.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Rice | -17.6 | 78% | W 35-9 (2-0) | -13.5 ✓ / 38 O |
| 3 | 09/12 | vsColorado | -11.7 | 69% | W 36-20 (3-0) | -4.0 ✓ / 46 O |
| 4 | IDLE | |||||
| 5 | 09/27 | @Oregon State | -14.9 | 74% | W 27-24 (4-0) | -11.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | vs#1 Texas Tech | +21.4 | 16% | L 11-35 (4-1) | +13.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| 7 | 10/11 | @Oklahoma State | -15.3 | 74% | W 39-17 (5-1) | -14.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 8 | 10/18 | vs#18 Arizona | +5.5 | 41% | W 31-28 (6-1) | +1.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 9 | 10/26 | @Arizona State | +4.3 | 43% | W 24-16 (7-1) | +7.0 ✓ / 46 U |
| 10 | 11/01 | vsWest Virginia | -12.3 | 70% | L 35-45 (7-2) | -13.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 11 | 11/08 | @UCF | -3.7 | 56% | W 30-27 (8-2) | +1.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 12 | IDLE | |||||
| 13 | 11/22 | vsTCU | +0.2 | 50% | L 14-17 (8-3) | +1.5 ✗ / 56 U |
| 14 | 11/29 | @Baylor | -1.2 | 52% | W 31-24 (9-3) | +2.5 ✓ / 58 U |
| POST | 12/28 | vsLSU | +1.0 | 48% | W 38-35 (10-3) | -1.5 ✓ / 44 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 30.2 | 28.9 | -1.3 |
| Offense YPG | 413.5 | 396.3 | -17.2 |
| Offense YPP | 5.68 | 5.74 | +0.06 |
| Defense PPG | 26.1 | 24.6 | -1.5 |
| Defense YPG | 350.5 | 357.2 | +6.7 |
| Defense YPP | 5.72 | 5.54 | -0.18 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +0.8 | 69 |
| Median (Current) | -0.6 | 79 |
| Mean (Historical) | +0.2 | 68 |
| Median (Historical) | +1.0 | 65 |
If Houston replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Houston isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Houston do with another team's schedule?