Oregon State

#125 2-10 Pac-12
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-12.2
Rank #125
Offense (Adj PPG)
17.7
Rank #123
Defense (Adj PPG)
30.8
Rank #103
Actual Record
2-10
All games played
Final Record
2-10
Season complete
Expected Wins
4.3
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/31vsCalifornia+6.240%L 15-34 (0-1)-3.0 ✗ / 52 U
209/06vsFresno State+7.338%L 27-36 (0-2)-1.0 ✗ / 46 O
309/13@#1 Texas Tech+42.20%L 14-45 (0-3)+24.5 ✗ / 62 U
409/20@#7 Oregon+37.80%L 7-41 (0-4)+33.5 ✗ / 58 U
509/27vsHouston+14.926%L 24-27 (0-5)+11.5 ✓ / 48 O
610/04@App State+4.842%L 23-27 (0-6)+1.5 ✗ / 54 U
710/11vsWake Forest+11.731%L 14-39 (0-7)+1.5 ✗ / 48 O
810/19vsLafayette--W 45-13 (1-7)-21.0 ✓ / 56 O
9IDLE
1011/01vsWashington State+14.028%W 10-7 (2-7)+3.5 ✓ / 48 U
1111/09vsSam Houston-11.568%L 17-21 (2-8)-21.0 ✗ / 52 U
1211/15@Tulsa+2.945%L 14-31 (2-9)+1.5 ✗ / 50 U
13IDLE
1411/29@Washington State+19.020%L 8-32 (2-10)+14.0 ✗ / 42 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG14.617.7+3.1
Offense YPG317.1355.0+37.8
Offense YPP4.755.15+0.40
Defense PPG28.130.8+2.7
Defense YPG367.5374.8+7.3
Defense YPP6.056.37+0.32

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+1.366
Median (Current)+1.960
Mean (Historical)-1.174
Median (Historical)+1.660

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Oregon State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 2-10 Expected: 4.3 wins Culture Factor: -2.3 (Underperforming)
0-12
0.1%
1-11
1.4%
2-10
7.7%
3-9
19.2%
4-8
27.1%
5-7
24.3%
6-6
13.9%
7-5
5.1%
8-4
1.1%
9-3
0.1%
10-2
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
2
0-12
0.0%
1-11
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Oregon State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Oregon State do with another team's schedule?