Rice

#124 5-8 American Athletic
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-12.1
Rank #124
Offense (Adj PPG)
15.1
Rank #131
Defense (Adj PPG)
31.1
Rank #105
Actual Record
5-8
All games played
Final Record
5-8
Season complete
Expected Wins
4.1
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/31@Louisiana+9.635%W 14-12 (1-0)+14.5 ✓ / 50 U
209/06vsHouston+17.622%L 9-35 (1-1)+13.5 ✗ / 38 O
309/13vsPrairie View A&M--W 38-17 (2-1)-29.5 ✗ / 48 O
409/18@Charlotte-2.754%W 28-17 (3-1)-1.5 ✓ / 42 O
509/27@Navy+19.020%L 13-21 (3-2)+14.0 ✓ / 46 U
610/04vsFlorida Atlantic+3.844%L 21-27 (3-3)-4.5 ✗ / 54 U
710/11@UTSA+20.218%L 13-61 (3-4)+8.5 ✗ / 48 O
8IDLE
910/25vsUConn+12.430%W 37-34 (4-4)+10.5 ✓ / 48 O
1010/31vsMemphis+18.520%L 14-38 (4-5)+13.5 ✗ / 48 O
1111/08vsUAB+1.148%W 24-17 (5-5)+1.5 ✓ / 52 U
12IDLE
1311/23vs#22 North Texas+27.66%L 24-56 (5-6)+18.5 ✗ / 57 O
1411/30@#13 South Florida+32.90%L 3-52 (5-7)+28.5 ✗ / 58 U
POST01/02@Texas State+18.820%L 10-41 (5-8)+19.5 ✗ / 56 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG18.215.1-3.1
Offense YPG287.2262.9-24.4
Offense YPP4.704.34-0.36
Defense PPG40.831.1-9.7
Defense YPG429.8385.6-44.2
Defense YPP6.826.12-0.70

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-1.582
Median (Current)+0.175
Mean (Historical)-1.679
Median (Historical)-0.975

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Rice replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 5-8 Expected: 4.1 wins Culture Factor: +0.9 (Winners Win)
0-13
0.1%
1-12
2.3%
2-11
10.4%
3-10
21.9%
4-9
27.3%
5-8
21.6%
6-7
11.3%
7-6
4.0%
8-5
1.0%
9-4
0.2%
10-3
0.0%
11-2
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
5
1-12
0.0%
2-11
0.0%
3-10
0.0%
4-9
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Rice isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Rice do with another team's schedule?