| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsAustin Peay | - | - | L 14-34 (0-1) | -14.5 ✗ / 54 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Wisconsin | +16.2 | 24% | L 10-42 (0-2) | +28.5 ✗ / 46 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | @Nevada | +4.7 | 42% | W 14-13 (1-2) | +9.0 ✓ / 50 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | vsMarshall | +6.5 | 40% | L 28-42 (1-3) | +2.5 ✗ / 46 O |
| 5 | 09/27 | @Kennesaw State | +15.9 | 25% | L 16-24 (1-4) | +7.0 ✗ / 54 U |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/08 | vsMissouri State | +3.8 | 44% | L 20-22 (1-5) | +2.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 8 | IDLE | |||||
| 9 | 10/22 | @Delaware | +6.4 | 40% | L 28-31 (1-6) | +9.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 10 | 10/29 | vsJacksonville State | +4.1 | 43% | L 21-24 (1-7) | +4.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 11 | 11/08 | vsFlorida International | +4.3 | 43% | L 30-56 (1-8) | -1.5 ✗ / 50 O |
| 12 | 11/15 | @Western Kentucky | +12.4 | 30% | L 26-42 (1-9) | +13.5 ✗ / 52 O |
| 13 | 11/22 | vsSam Houston | -11.1 | 68% | W 31-17 (2-9) | -6.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 14 | 11/29 | @New Mexico State | +2.8 | 45% | W 31-24 (3-9) | +3.5 ✓ / 52 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 25.4 | 19.4 | -5.9 |
| Offense YPG | 373.9 | 333.3 | -40.6 |
| Offense YPP | 5.83 | 5.22 | -0.61 |
| Defense PPG | 30.0 | 34.1 | +4.1 |
| Defense YPG | 352.8 | 406.9 | +54.2 |
| Defense YPP | 5.85 | 6.67 | +0.82 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -7.0 | 132 |
| Median (Current) | -5.9 | 113 |
| Mean (Historical) | -8.8 | 132 |
| Median (Historical) | -8.8 | 130 |
If Middle Tennessee replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Middle Tennessee isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Middle Tennessee do with another team's schedule?