| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/23 | vsSam Houston | -21.2 | 84% | W 41-24 (1-0) | -9.5 ✓ / 60 O |
| 1 | 08/30 | vsNorth Alabama | - | - | W 55-6 (2-0) | -27.5 ✓ / 60 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Toledo | +14.0 | 27% | L 21-45 (2-1) | +8.5 ✗ / 58 O |
| 3 | IDLE | |||||
| 4 | 09/20 | vsNevada | -9.4 | 65% | W 31-16 (3-1) | -8.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | @Missouri State | -0.7 | 51% | W 27-22 (4-1) | -3.5 ✓ / 60 U |
| 6 | 10/03 | @Delaware | -4.4 | 57% | W 27-24 (5-1) | +2.5 ✓ / 62 U |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/15 | vsFlorida International | -5.7 | 59% | L 6-25 (5-2) | -9.5 ✗ / 56 U |
| 9 | 10/21 | @Louisiana Tech | +4.8 | 42% | W 28-27 (6-2) | +5.5 ✓ / 50 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | vsNew Mexico State | -11.6 | 69% | W 35-16 (7-2) | -7.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/15 | vsMiddle Tennessee | -12.4 | 70% | W 42-26 (8-2) | -13.5 ✓ / 52 O |
| 13 | 11/23 | @LSU | +13.9 | 28% | L 10-13 (8-3) | +24.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 14 | 11/29 | @Jacksonville State | -1.0 | 52% | L 34-37 (8-4) | -1.5 ✗ / 56 O |
| POST | 12/23 | @Southern Miss | +0.6 | 49% | W 27-16 (9-4) | +3.0 ✓ / 59 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 26.1 | 24.3 | -1.8 |
| Offense YPG | 347.2 | 359.3 | +12.0 |
| Offense YPP | 5.42 | 5.31 | -0.10 |
| Defense PPG | 23.0 | 29.2 | +6.2 |
| Defense YPG | 368.0 | 430.0 | +62.0 |
| Defense YPP | 5.22 | 5.92 | +0.70 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -6.5 | 130 |
| Median (Current) | -6.0 | 117 |
| Mean (Historical) | -6.7 | 120 |
| Median (Historical) | -8.3 | 127 |
If Western Kentucky replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Western Kentucky isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Western Kentucky do with another team's schedule?