| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/31 | vsBryant | - | - | W 19-3 (1-0) | -19.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| 2 | 09/07 | vsTulsa | -0.9 | 51% | W 21-14 (2-0) | +3.0 ✓ / 52 U |
| 3 | 09/13 | @Louisiana Tech | +13.3 | 29% | L 14-49 (2-1) | +10.0 ✗ / 42 O |
| 4 | IDLE | |||||
| 5 | 09/27 | @New Mexico | +17.8 | 21% | L 20-38 (2-2) | +16.5 ✗ / 54 O |
| 6 | 10/03 | vsSam Houston | -11.6 | 69% | W 37-10 (3-2) | +1.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/14 | @Liberty | +8.9 | 36% | L 27-30 (3-3) | +10.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 9 | 10/23 | vsMissouri State | +3.7 | 44% | L 17-24 (3-4) | +2.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| 10 | 11/01 | @Western Kentucky | +11.6 | 31% | L 16-35 (3-5) | +7.5 ✗ / 54 U |
| 11 | 11/08 | vsKennesaw State | +9.6 | 35% | L 21-24 (3-6) | +11.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 12 | 11/15 | @Tennessee | +28.0 | 5% | L 9-42 (3-7) | +41.5 ✓ / 60 U |
| 13 | 11/22 | @UTEP | +0.9 | 49% | W 34-31 (4-7) | +4.0 ✓ / 44 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | vsMiddle Tennessee | -2.8 | 55% | L 24-31 (4-8) | -3.5 ✗ / 52 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 23.1 | 18.1 | -5.0 |
| Offense YPG | 294.5 | 273.4 | -21.1 |
| Offense YPP | 4.58 | 4.37 | -0.22 |
| Defense PPG | 28.4 | 31.9 | +3.5 |
| Defense YPG | 331.4 | 388.3 | +56.9 |
| Defense YPP | 5.38 | 5.78 | +0.41 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -6.0 | 122 |
| Median (Current) | -5.9 | 112 |
| Mean (Historical) | -5.6 | 108 |
| Median (Historical) | -7.8 | 124 |
If New Mexico State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game New Mexico State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would New Mexico State do with another team's schedule?