Jacksonville State

#98 9-5 Conference USA
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-6.2
Rank #98
Offense (Adj PPG)
22.5
Rank #97
Defense (Adj PPG)
30.7
Rank #101
Actual Record
9-5
All games played
Final Record
9-5
Season complete
Expected Wins
7.6
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/28@UCF+7.538%L 10-17 (0-1)+16.5 ✓ / 54 U
209/06vsLiberty-2.654%W 34-24 (1-1)+6.0 ✓ / 50 O
309/13@Georgia Southern-0.951%L 34-41 (1-2)+3.0 ✗ / 59 O
409/20vsMurray State--W 45-10 (2-2)-35.5 ✗ / 60 U
509/27@Southern Miss+3.844%L 25-42 (2-3)+4.5 ✗ / 56 O
6IDLE
710/10@Sam Houston-12.670%W 29-27 (3-3)-7.0 ✗ / 54 O
810/15vsDelaware-5.459%W 38-25 (4-3)+3.0 ✓ / 56 O
9IDLE
1010/29@Middle Tennessee-4.157%W 24-21 (5-3)-4.5 ✗ / 54 U
1111/08@UTEP-5.258%W 30-27 (6-3)-1.5 ✓ / 46 O
1211/16vsKennesaw State+4.343%W 35-26 (7-3)+3.5 ✓ / 56 O
1311/22@Florida International+2.746%L 21-27 (7-4)+2.5 ✗ / 56 U
1411/29vsWestern Kentucky+1.048%W 37-34 (8-4)+1.5 ✓ / 56 O
1512/06vsKennesaw State+4.343%L 15-19 (8-5)+3.0 ✗ / 62 U
POST12/17vsTroy-0.350%W 17-13 (9-5)-3.0 ✓ / 48 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG27.122.5-4.6
Offense YPG386.9359.8-27.1
Offense YPP5.975.59-0.38
Defense PPG24.030.7+6.7
Defense YPG365.5423.8+58.3
Defense YPP5.636.57+0.94

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-7.0133
Median (Current)-5.9110
Mean (Historical)-5.8111
Median (Historical)-4.395

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Jacksonville State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 9-5 Expected: 7.6 wins Culture Factor: +1.4 (Winners Win)
1-13
0.0%
2-12
0.1%
3-11
0.8%
4-10
3.2%
5-9
8.1%
6-8
15.1%
7-7
20.6%
8-6
21.3%
9-5
16.5%
10-4
9.2%
11-3
3.7%
12-2
1.1%
13-1
0.1%
14-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
9
5-9
0.0%
6-8
0.0%
7-7
0.0%
8-6
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Jacksonville State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Jacksonville State do with another team's schedule?