
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/23 | @Western Kentucky | +21.2 | 16% | L 24-41 (0-1) | +9.5 ✗ / 60 O |
| 1 | 08/30 | vsUNLV | +25.4 | 9% | L 21-38 (0-2) | +13.5 ✗ / 58 O |
| 2 | 09/07 | @Hawai'i | +25.0 | 10% | L 20-37 (0-3) | +7.0 ✗ / 48 O |
| 3 | IDLE | |||||
| 4 | 09/21 | @#22 Texas | +37.8 | 0% | L 0-55 (0-4) | +39.5 ✗ / 52 O |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/03 | @New Mexico State | +11.6 | 31% | L 10-37 (0-5) | -1.5 ✗ / 54 U |
| 7 | 10/10 | vsJacksonville State | +12.6 | 30% | L 27-29 (0-6) | +7.0 ✓ / 54 O |
| 8 | 10/15 | vsUTEP | +5.3 | 42% | L 17-35 (0-7) | +3.5 ✗ / 46 O |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/01 | @Louisiana Tech | +23.5 | 12% | L 14-55 (0-8) | +16.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 11 | 11/09 | @Oregon State | +11.5 | 32% | W 21-17 (1-8) | +21.0 ✓ / 52 U |
| 12 | 11/16 | vsDelaware | +10.8 | 33% | W 26-23 (2-8) | +11.5 ✓ / 56 U |
| 13 | 11/22 | @Middle Tennessee | +11.1 | 32% | L 17-31 (2-9) | +6.5 ✗ / 54 U |
| 14 | 11/29 | vsFlorida International | +13.1 | 29% | L 16-56 (2-10) | +10.5 ✗ / 50 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 18.5 | 15.7 | -2.8 |
| Offense YPG | 314.8 | 312.8 | -2.0 |
| Offense YPP | 5.14 | 4.36 | -0.78 |
| Defense PPG | 35.4 | 39.0 | +3.6 |
| Defense YPG | 441.2 | 476.1 | +34.9 |
| Defense YPP | 6.98 | 7.21 | +0.23 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -5.6 | 119 |
| Median (Current) | -6.0 | 114 |
| Mean (Historical) | -7.2 | 124 |
| Median (Historical) | -9.0 | 132 |
If Sam Houston replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Sam Houston isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Sam Houston do with another team's schedule?