Sam Houston

#134 2-10 Conference USA
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-19.3
Rank #134
Offense (Adj PPG)
15.7
Rank #129
Defense (Adj PPG)
39.0
Rank #135
Actual Record
2-10
All games played
Final Record
2-10
Season complete
Expected Wins
2.8
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/23@Western Kentucky+21.216%L 24-41 (0-1)+9.5 ✗ / 60 O
108/30vsUNLV+25.49%L 21-38 (0-2)+13.5 ✗ / 58 O
209/07@Hawai'i+25.010%L 20-37 (0-3)+7.0 ✗ / 48 O
3IDLE
409/21@#22 Texas+37.80%L 0-55 (0-4)+39.5 ✗ / 52 O
5IDLE
610/03@New Mexico State+11.631%L 10-37 (0-5)-1.5 ✗ / 54 U
710/10vsJacksonville State+12.630%L 27-29 (0-6)+7.0 ✓ / 54 O
810/15vsUTEP+5.342%L 17-35 (0-7)+3.5 ✗ / 46 O
9IDLE
1011/01@Louisiana Tech+23.512%L 14-55 (0-8)+16.5 ✗ / 48 O
1111/09@Oregon State+11.532%W 21-17 (1-8)+21.0 ✓ / 52 U
1211/16vsDelaware+10.833%W 26-23 (2-8)+11.5 ✓ / 56 U
1311/22@Middle Tennessee+11.132%L 17-31 (2-9)+6.5 ✗ / 54 U
1411/29vsFlorida International+13.129%L 16-56 (2-10)+10.5 ✗ / 50 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG18.515.7-2.8
Offense YPG314.8312.8-2.0
Offense YPP5.144.36-0.78
Defense PPG35.439.0+3.6
Defense YPG441.2476.1+34.9
Defense YPP6.987.21+0.23

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-5.6119
Median (Current)-6.0114
Mean (Historical)-7.2124
Median (Historical)-9.0132

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Sam Houston replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 2-10 Expected: 2.8 wins Culture Factor: -0.8 (Underperforming)
0-12
3.8%
1-11
15.0%
2-10
26.0%
3-9
26.8%
4-8
17.6%
5-7
7.9%
6-6
2.4%
7-5
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
9-3
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
2
0-12
0.0%
1-11
0.0%
2-10
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Sam Houston isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Sam Houston do with another team's schedule?