Notre Dame

#4 10-2 FBS Independents
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+20.1
Rank #4
Offense (Adj PPG)
40.2
Rank #3
Defense (Adj PPG)
15.7
Rank #10
Actual Record
10-2
All games played
Final Record
10-2
Season complete
Expected Wins
10.0
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/31@#6 Miami+1.048%L 24-27 (0-1)-2.5 ✗ / 54 U
2IDLE
309/13vs#9 Texas A&M-11.568%L 40-41 (0-2)-7.5 ✗ / 48 O
409/20vsPurdue-31.7100%W 56-30 (1-2)-24.5 ✓ / 52 O
509/27@Arkansas-21.284%W 56-13 (2-2)-5.5 ✓ / 64 O
610/04vsBoise State-20.783%W 28-7 (3-2)-21.5 ✗ / 64 U
710/11vsNC State-24.890%W 36-7 (4-2)-23.5 ✓ / 60 U
810/18vs#13 USC-11.869%W 34-24 (5-2)-10.5 ✗ / 60 U
9IDLE
1011/01@Boston College-31.6100%W 25-10 (6-2)-31.5 ✗ / 56 U
1111/09vsNavy-27.193%W 49-10 (7-2)-30.5 ✓ / 54 O
1211/15@Pittsburgh-15.775%W 37-15 (8-2)-12.5 ✓ / 56 U
1311/22vsSyracuse-37.1100%W 70-7 (9-2)-36.5 ✓ / 52 O
1411/30@Stanford-26.092%W 49-20 (10-2)-32.5 ✗ / 50 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG41.040.2-0.8
Offense YPG446.4450.6+4.3
Offense YPP7.447.37-0.07
Defense PPG12.515.7+3.2
Defense YPG277.1293.6+16.5
Defense YPP4.304.52+0.22

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+3.050
Median (Current)+2.452
Mean (Historical)+1.163
Median (Historical)+1.363

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Notre Dame replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 10-2 Expected: 10.0 wins Culture Factor: -0.0 (Neutral)
4-8
0.0%
5-7
0.0%
6-6
0.2%
7-5
1.7%
8-4
7.8%
9-3
21.0%
10-2
32.4%
11-1
27.7%
12-0
9.2%

Final Record

Final Wins
10
7-5
0.0%
8-4
0.0%
9-3
0.0%
10-2
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Notre Dame isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Notre Dame do with another team's schedule?