| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsSyracuse | -25.1 | 90% | W 45-26 (1-0) | -13.5 ✓ / 54 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsEast Tennessee State | - | - | W 72-17 (2-0) | -39.5 ✓ / 58 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | vs#8 Georgia | +8.4 | 37% | L 41-44 (2-1) | +3.5 ✓ / 50 O |
| 4 | 09/20 | vsUAB | -28.9 | 96% | W 56-24 (3-1) | -39.5 ✗ / 70 O |
| 5 | 09/27 | @Mississippi State | -5.6 | 59% | W 41-34 (4-1) | -7.5 ✗ / 64 O |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/11 | vsArkansas | -9.1 | 65% | W 34-31 (5-1) | -10.0 ✗ / 68 U |
| 8 | 10/18 | @#17 Alabama | +10.2 | 34% | L 20-37 (5-2) | +8.5 ✗ / 60 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | @Kentucky | -5.7 | 59% | W 56-34 (6-2) | -7.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | vs#15 Oklahoma | +6.1 | 40% | L 27-33 (6-3) | -3.0 ✗ / 56 O |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/15 | vsNew Mexico State | -28.0 | 95% | W 42-9 (7-3) | -41.5 ✗ / 60 U |
| 13 | 11/23 | @Florida | -2.8 | 55% | W 31-11 (8-3) | -3.5 ✓ / 58 U |
| 14 | 11/29 | vs#10 Vanderbilt | +5.2 | 42% | L 24-45 (8-4) | -2.5 ✗ / 66 O |
| POST | 12/30 | @Illinois | +3.0 | 45% | L 28-30 (8-5) | -3.0 ✗ / 62 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 32.8 | 38.3 | +5.6 |
| Offense YPG | 420.0 | 470.6 | +50.6 |
| Offense YPP | 6.26 | 6.83 | +0.57 |
| Defense PPG | 28.8 | 28.0 | -0.7 |
| Defense YPG | 414.8 | 398.9 | -15.9 |
| Defense YPP | 6.36 | 5.82 | -0.53 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +2.9 | 53 |
| Median (Current) | +2.0 | 58 |
| Mean (Historical) | +4.8 | 43 |
| Median (Historical) | +5.4 | 34 |
If Tennessee replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Tennessee isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Tennessee do with another team's schedule?