UAB

#128 4-8 American Athletic
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-12.9
Rank #128
Offense (Adj PPG)
21.6
Rank #103
Defense (Adj PPG)
35.8
Rank #129
Actual Record
4-8
All games played
Final Record
4-8
Season complete
Expected Wins
4.2
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/29vsAlabama State--W 52-42 (1-0)-21.0 ✗ / 54 O
209/06@Navy+17.422%L 24-38 (1-1)+20.5 ✓ / 59 O
309/14vsAkron-7.161%W 31-28 (2-1)-12.5 ✗ / 58 O
409/20@Tennessee+28.94%L 24-56 (2-2)+39.5 ✓ / 70 O
5IDLE
610/04vsArmy+8.536%L 13-31 (2-3)+6.5 ✗ / 56 U
710/11@Florida Atlantic+4.942%L 33-53 (2-4)+4.5 ✗ / 66 O
810/18vsMemphis+17.322%W 31-24 (3-4)+23.5 ✓ / 60 U
9IDLE
1011/01@UConn+15.325%L 19-38 (3-5)+10.0 ✗ / 62 U
1111/08@Rice-1.152%L 17-24 (3-6)-1.5 ✗ / 52 U
1211/15vs#22 North Texas+26.57%L 24-53 (3-7)+17.5 ✗ / 70 O
1311/22vs#13 South Florida+27.36%L 18-48 (3-8)+21.5 ✗ / 68 U
1411/29@Tulsa+3.045%W 31-24 (4-8)+9.0 ✓ / 56 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG23.221.6-1.7
Offense YPG368.2356.8-11.4
Offense YPP5.505.49-0.00
Defense PPG36.935.8-1.1
Defense YPG373.9381.3+7.4
Defense YPP6.506.58+0.07

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-1.179
Median (Current)-1.285
Mean (Historical)-0.672
Median (Historical)-2.484

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If UAB replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 4-8 Expected: 4.2 wins Culture Factor: -0.2 (Neutral)
0-12
0.1%
1-11
1.7%
2-10
9.0%
3-9
21.0%
4-8
27.8%
5-7
23.0%
6-6
12.2%
7-5
4.1%
8-4
0.8%
9-3
0.1%
10-2
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
4
0-12
0.0%
1-11
0.0%
2-10
0.0%
3-9
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game UAB isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would UAB do with another team's schedule?