| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | vsWestern Illinois | - | - | W 52-3 (1-0) | -48.5 ✓ / 62 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Duke | -3.3 | 55% | W 45-19 (2-0) | -2.5 ✓ / 49 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsWestern Michigan | -13.7 | 72% | W 38-0 (3-0) | -27.5 ✓ / 50 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | @#3 Indiana | +24.0 | 11% | L 10-63 (3-1) | +7.0 ✗ / 52 O |
| 5 | 09/27 | vs#13 USC | +3.5 | 44% | W 34-32 (4-1) | +6.5 ✓ / 62 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | @Purdue | -12.2 | 70% | W 43-27 (5-1) | -7.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 7 | 10/11 | vs#2 Ohio State | +16.4 | 24% | L 16-34 (5-2) | +15.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| 8 | IDLE | |||||
| 9 | 10/25 | @#20 Washington | +6.6 | 39% | L 25-42 (5-3) | +3.5 ✗ / 54 O |
| 10 | 11/01 | vsRutgers | -13.7 | 72% | W 35-13 (6-3) | -13.5 ✓ / 64 U |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/15 | vsMaryland | -14.1 | 73% | W 24-6 (7-3) | -15.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 13 | 11/23 | @Wisconsin | -4.5 | 57% | L 10-27 (7-4) | -8.5 ✗ / 42 U |
| 14 | 11/30 | vsNorthwestern | -8.4 | 63% | W 20-13 (8-4) | -7.0 P / 44 U |
| POST | 12/30 | vsTennessee | -3.0 | 55% | W 30-28 (9-4) | +3.0 ✓ / 62 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 25.4 | 31.5 | +6.1 |
| Offense YPG | 377.1 | 394.5 | +17.4 |
| Offense YPP | 5.85 | 6.06 | +0.22 |
| Defense PPG | 23.8 | 21.9 | -1.9 |
| Defense YPG | 332.0 | 343.6 | +11.6 |
| Defense YPP | 5.21 | 5.18 | -0.03 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +6.0 | 17 |
| Median (Current) | +2.7 | 48 |
| Mean (Historical) | +5.3 | 31 |
| Median (Historical) | +0.6 | 67 |
If Illinois replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Illinois isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Illinois do with another team's schedule?