
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | @#9 Texas A&M | +19.6 | 19% | L 24-42 (0-1) | +21.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsTexas State | -5.7 | 59% | L 36-43 (0-2) | -4.5 ✗ / 64 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsIncarnate Word | - | - | W 48-20 (1-2) | -21.0 ✓ / 62 O |
| 4 | 09/21 | @Colorado State | -10.7 | 67% | W 17-16 (2-2) | -4.5 ✗ / 58 U |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/04 | @Temple | -6.6 | 61% | L 21-27 (2-3) | -6.5 ✗ / 58 U |
| 7 | 10/11 | vsRice | -20.2 | 82% | W 61-13 (3-3) | -8.5 ✓ / 48 O |
| 8 | 10/18 | @#22 North Texas | +14.6 | 27% | L 17-55 (3-4) | +4.0 ✗ / 64 O |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 10/30 | vsTulane | +1.4 | 48% | W 48-26 (4-4) | +5.5 ✓ / 54 O |
| 11 | 11/07 | @#13 South Florida | +16.4 | 24% | L 23-55 (4-5) | +14.0 ✗ / 66 O |
| 12 | 11/15 | @Charlotte | -21.4 | 84% | W 28-7 (5-5) | -16.5 ✓ / 58 U |
| 13 | 11/22 | vsEast Carolina | +2.5 | 46% | W 58-24 (6-5) | +2.0 ✓ / 62 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | vsArmy | -5.1 | 58% | L 24-27 (6-6) | -8.5 ✗ / 50 O |
| POST | 12/27 | vsFlorida International | -11.9 | 69% | W 57-20 (7-6) | -7.0 ✓ / 62 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 39.5 | 29.9 | -9.6 |
| Offense YPG | 441.1 | 390.6 | -50.5 |
| Offense YPP | 6.57 | 6.03 | -0.54 |
| Defense PPG | 28.4 | 29.1 | +0.7 |
| Defense YPG | 357.4 | 366.2 | +8.8 |
| Defense YPP | 5.71 | 6.04 | +0.33 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -1.0 | 78 |
| Median (Current) | -0.8 | 80 |
| Mean (Historical) | -2.0 | 81 |
| Median (Historical) | -2.7 | 85 |
If UTSA replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game UTSA isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would UTSA do with another team's schedule?