UTSA

#64 7-6 American Athletic
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+0.6
Rank #64
Offense (Adj PPG)
29.9
Rank #40
Defense (Adj PPG)
29.1
Rank #87
Actual Record
7-6
All games played
Final Record
7-6
Season complete
Expected Wins
7.4
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30@#9 Texas A&M+19.619%L 24-42 (0-1)+21.5 ✓ / 56 O
209/06vsTexas State-5.759%L 36-43 (0-2)-4.5 ✗ / 64 O
309/13vsIncarnate Word--W 48-20 (1-2)-21.0 ✓ / 62 O
409/21@Colorado State-10.767%W 17-16 (2-2)-4.5 ✗ / 58 U
5IDLE
610/04@Temple-6.661%L 21-27 (2-3)-6.5 ✗ / 58 U
710/11vsRice-20.282%W 61-13 (3-3)-8.5 ✓ / 48 O
810/18@#22 North Texas+14.627%L 17-55 (3-4)+4.0 ✗ / 64 O
9IDLE
1010/30vsTulane+1.448%W 48-26 (4-4)+5.5 ✓ / 54 O
1111/07@#13 South Florida+16.424%L 23-55 (4-5)+14.0 ✗ / 66 O
1211/15@Charlotte-21.484%W 28-7 (5-5)-16.5 ✓ / 58 U
1311/22vsEast Carolina+2.546%W 58-24 (6-5)+2.0 ✓ / 62 O
1411/29vsArmy-5.158%L 24-27 (6-6)-8.5 ✗ / 50 O
POST12/27vsFlorida International-11.969%W 57-20 (7-6)-7.0 ✓ / 62 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG39.529.9-9.6
Offense YPG441.1390.6-50.5
Offense YPP6.576.03-0.54
Defense PPG28.429.1+0.7
Defense YPG357.4366.2+8.8
Defense YPP5.716.04+0.33

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-1.078
Median (Current)-0.880
Mean (Historical)-2.081
Median (Historical)-2.785

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If UTSA replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 7-6 Expected: 7.4 wins Culture Factor: -0.4 (Neutral)
1-12
0.0%
2-11
0.1%
3-10
0.6%
4-9
2.7%
5-8
8.4%
6-7
16.9%
7-6
24.1%
8-5
23.3%
9-4
15.3%
10-3
6.7%
11-2
1.8%
12-1
0.3%
13-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
7
3-10
0.0%
4-9
0.0%
5-8
0.0%
6-7
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game UTSA isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would UTSA do with another team's schedule?