Utah State

#72 6-7 Mountain West
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-0.9
Rank #72
Offense (Adj PPG)
28.5
Rank #50
Defense (Adj PPG)
28.8
Rank #82
Actual Record
6-7
All games played
Final Record
6-7
Season complete
Expected Wins
6.9
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30vsUTEP-18.980%W 28-16 (1-0)-3.5 ✓ / 60 U
209/06@#9 Texas A&M+20.517%L 22-44 (1-1)+34.5 ✓ / 58 O
309/14vsAir Force-8.664%W 49-30 (2-1)+4.0 ✓ / 52 O
409/21vsMcNeese--W 48-7 (3-1)-23.5 ✓ / 63 U
509/27@#10 Vanderbilt+20.417%L 35-55 (3-2)+23.5 ✓ / 58 O
6IDLE
710/12@Hawai'i+1.348%L 26-44 (3-3)-1.5 ✗ / 58 O
810/18vsSan José State-15.875%W 30-25 (4-3)-3.0 ✓ / 64 U
910/25@New Mexico+4.742%L 14-33 (4-4)+3.0 ✗ / 62 U
10IDLE
1111/09vsNevada-14.173%W 51-14 (5-4)-10.0 ✓ / 52 O
1211/16@UNLV+5.142%L 26-29 (5-5)+4.5 ✓ / 68 U
1311/23@Fresno State+0.150%W 28-17 (6-5)+1.5 ✓ / 50 U
1411/28vsBoise State+3.844%L 24-25 (6-6)+1.5 ✓ / 54 U
POST12/22vsWashington State+2.546%L 21-34 (6-7)-1.0 ✗ / 50 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG27.528.5+1.0
Offense YPG395.4395.7+0.3
Offense YPP6.025.91-0.12
Defense PPG27.628.8+1.1
Defense YPG461.1415.0-46.1
Defense YPP6.225.81-0.41

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+0.172
Median (Current)+0.770
Mean (Historical)-1.173
Median (Historical)-1.377

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Utah State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 6-7 Expected: 6.9 wins Culture Factor: -0.9 (Underperforming)
1-12
0.0%
2-11
0.2%
3-10
1.3%
4-9
5.1%
5-8
12.3%
6-7
20.9%
7-6
24.4%
8-5
19.8%
9-4
10.9%
10-3
4.1%
11-2
1.0%
12-1
0.1%
13-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
6
2-11
0.0%
3-10
0.0%
4-9
0.0%
5-8
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Utah State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Utah State do with another team's schedule?