Texas

#22 10-3 SEC
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+9.6
Rank #22 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
31.0
Rank #30
Defense (Adj PPG)
17.9
Rank #14
Actual Record
10-3
All games played
Final Record
10-3
Season complete
Expected Wins
8.2
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30@#2 Ohio State+17.522%L 7-14 (0-1)+1.5 ✗ / 46 U
209/06vsSan José State-28.996%W 38-7 (1-1)-37.0 ✗ / 52 U
309/13vsUTEP-30.899%W 27-10 (2-1)-39.5 ✗ / 52 U
409/21vsSam Houston-37.8100%W 55-0 (3-1)-39.5 ✓ / 52 O
5IDLE
610/04@Florida-6.060%L 21-29 (3-2)-4.5 ✗ / 42 O
710/11vs#15 Oklahoma+1.048%W 23-6 (4-2)-2.5 ✓ / 44 U
810/18@Kentucky-8.864%W 16-13 (5-2)-12.5 ✗ / 46 U
910/25@Mississippi State-9.064%W 45-38 (6-2)-8.5 ✗ / 48 O
1011/01vs#10 Vanderbilt-0.751%W 34-31 (7-2)-3.5 ✗ / 48 O
11IDLE
1211/16@#8 Georgia+7.937%L 10-35 (7-3)+3.5 ✗ / 50 U
1311/22vsArkansas-13.572%W 52-37 (8-3)-10.5 ✓ / 58 O
1411/29vs#9 Texas A&M-0.250%W 27-17 (9-3)+2.5 ✓ / 54 U
POST12/31vs#25 Michigan-3.255%W 41-27 (10-3)-7.0 ✓ / 50 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG31.031.0-0.0
Offense YPG373.2396.5+23.3
Offense YPP5.916.37+0.46
Defense PPG25.517.9-7.6
Defense YPG391.8316.5-75.2
Defense YPP5.434.81-0.62

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+3.940
Median (Current)+2.254
Mean (Historical)+6.021
Median (Historical)+5.435

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Texas replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 10-3 Expected: 8.2 wins Culture Factor: +1.8 (Winners Win)
2-11
0.0%
3-10
0.1%
4-9
0.6%
5-8
3.1%
6-7
9.7%
7-6
19.0%
8-5
24.9%
9-4
22.7%
10-3
13.7%
11-2
5.2%
12-1
1.0%
13-0
0.1%

Final Record

Final Wins
10
7-6
0.0%
8-5
0.0%
9-4
0.0%
10-3
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Texas isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Texas do with another team's schedule?