| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/02 | vsTCU | +13.1 | 29% | L 14-48 (0-1) | +3.0 ✗ / 60 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Charlotte | -9.1 | 65% | W 20-3 (1-1) | -16.5 ✓ / 50 U |
| 3 | 09/13 | vsRichmond | - | - | W 41-6 (2-1) | -24.5 ✓ / 48 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | @UCF | +9.0 | 36% | L 9-34 (2-2) | +7.0 ✗ / 46 U |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/04 | vsClemson | +12.3 | 30% | L 10-38 (2-3) | +15.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/18 | @California | +6.8 | 39% | L 18-21 (2-4) | +7.5 ✓ / 46 U |
| 9 | 10/25 | vsVirginia | +13.5 | 28% | L 16-17 (2-5) | +12.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 10 | 10/31 | @Syracuse | +1.0 | 48% | W 27-10 (3-5) | +1.5 ✓ / 46 U |
| 11 | 11/08 | vsStanford | +1.4 | 48% | W 20-15 (4-5) | -8.5 ✗ / 42 U |
| 12 | 11/15 | @Wake Forest | +13.0 | 29% | L 12-28 (4-6) | +3.5 ✗ / 38 O |
| 13 | 11/22 | vsDuke | +11.8 | 31% | L 25-32 (4-7) | +6.5 ✗ / 50 O |
| 14 | 11/30 | @NC State | +15.3 | 25% | L 19-42 (4-8) | +7.0 ✗ / 48 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 18.4 | 17.9 | -0.5 |
| Offense YPG | 308.5 | 298.5 | -10.0 |
| Offense YPP | 5.21 | 5.24 | +0.04 |
| Defense PPG | 25.4 | 27.0 | +1.6 |
| Defense YPG | 331.5 | 360.2 | +28.7 |
| Defense YPP | 5.00 | 5.38 | +0.38 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -1.2 | 80 |
| Median (Current) | +1.9 | 59 |
| Mean (Historical) | -0.2 | 70 |
| Median (Historical) | +0.0 | 70 |
If North Carolina replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game North Carolina isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would North Carolina do with another team's schedule?