| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vsNorth Alabama | - | - | W 31-14 (1-0) | -40.5 ✗ / 63.0 U |
| 2 | 09/13 | @#7  Utah | +23.2 / 55.0 | 13% | L 10-43 (1-1) | +13.5 ✗ / 55.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs#3  Georgia | +21.5 / 54.3 | 15% | L 17-45 (1-2) | +24.5 ✗ / 54.5 O |
| 4 | 09/27 | vs Tulsa | -12.4 / 52.5 | 70% | W 34-6 (2-2) | -7.0 ✓ / 51.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | @#20  Texas A&M | +13.4 / 51.6 | 29% | L 7-34 (2-3) | +13.5 ✗ / 51.5 U |
| 6 | 10/10 | vs#16  Tennessee | +9.8 / 56.4 | 34% | L 17-24 (2-4) | +13.5 ✓ / 51.5 U |
| 7 | 10/17 | @ Vanderbilt | +6.6 / 58.9 | 39% | - | +6.5 / 50.5 |
| 8 | IDLE | |||||
| 9 | 10/31 | vs#11  Missouri | +11.8 / 49.5 | 31% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ Auburn | +9.4 / 44.7 | 35% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs South Carolina | +5.2 / 55.0 | 42% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | @#9  Texas | +18.8 / 48.0 | 20% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs#12  LSU | +11.6 / 49.3 | 31% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 20.1 | 27.9 | +7.8 |
| Offense YPG | 333.6 | 396.5 | +62.9 |
| Offense YPP | 5.34 | 6.32 | +0.98 |
| Defense PPG | 32.2 | 25.6 | -6.6 |
| Defense YPG | 395.5 | 361.8 | -33.7 |
| Defense YPP | 6.39 | 5.91 | -0.48 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +9.1 | 3 |
| Median (Current) | +13.5 | 1 |
| Mean (Historical) | +3.9 | 10 |
| Median (Historical) | +15.0 | 1 |
If Arkansas replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Arkansas isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Arkansas do with another team's schedule?