| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vs Oklahoma State | +2.3 / 51.3 | 46% | W 24-10 (1-0) | +13.0 ✓ / 57.5 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Sam Houston | -7.8 / 49.9 | 62% | W 23-17 (2-0) | -12.5 ✗ / 51.5 U |
| 3 | 09/20 | vsEast Texas A&M | - | - | W 42-0 (3-0) | -41.5 ✓ / 55.5 U |
| 4 | 09/27 | @ Arkansas | +12.4 / 52.5 | 30% | L 6-34 (3-1) | +7.0 ✗ / 51.5 U |
| 5 | 10/02 | vs North Texas | +12.6 / 68.0 | 30% | L 44-45 (3-2) | +1.0 P / 57.0 O |
| 6 | 10/10 | @ Navy | +6.5 / 49.1 | 40% | L 26-34 (3-3) | +3.0 ✗ / 47.5 O |
| 7 | 10/17 | @ Rice | -3.1 / 46.1 | 55% | - | -3.5 / 47.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs Army | +2.0 / 45.1 | 47% | - | - |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/07 | @ Tulane | +8.2 / 41.5 | 37% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Florida Atlantic | -3.5 / 59.7 | 56% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Charlotte | -17.9 / 45.1 | 79% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @ UTSA | +9.7 / 54.4 | 34% | - | - |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 25.5 | 21.7 | -3.8 |
| Offense YPG | 369.5 | 349.1 | -20.4 |
| Offense YPP | 5.64 | 5.07 | -0.57 |
| Defense PPG | 26.2 | 29.1 | +2.9 |
| Defense YPG | 405.8 | 415.5 | +9.8 |
| Defense YPP | 5.64 | 5.78 | +0.14 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -8.2 | 105 |
| Median (Current) | -3.3 | 80 |
| Mean (Historical) | -10.0 | 109 |
| Median (Historical) | -9.3 | 117 |
If Tulsa replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Tulsa isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Tulsa do with another team's schedule?