Missouri

BMPR #11 AP #13 Coaches #13 5-1 SEC
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+16.2
Rank #11
Offense (Adj PPG)
32.4
Rank #24
Defense (Adj PPG)
16.2
Rank #12
Actual Record
5-1
All games played
Projected Wins
8.3
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
4.3
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/04vsArkansas-Pine Bluff--W 54-14 (1-0)-55.5 ✗ / 62.5 O
209/12@Kansas logoKansas-8.5 / 50.564%W 38-21 (2-0)-4.0 ✓ / 51.5 O
309/19vsTroy logoTroy-22.1 / 46.685%W 27-17 (3-0)-27.0 ✗ / 50.0 U
409/26@Mississippi State logoMississippi State-5.4 / 56.859%L 24-31 (3-1)+3.5 ✗ / 58.5 U
510/03vsFlorida logoFlorida-10.9 / 55.167%W 45-17 (4-1)+5.5 ✓ / 57.5 O
610/10vs#20 Texas A&M logoTexas A&M-6.4 / 45.160%W 27-6 (5-1)-4.5 ✓ / 50.5 U
710/17@#13 Ole Miss logoOle Miss+0.0 / 55.450%-+6.0 / 60.5
8IDLE
910/31@Arkansas logoArkansas-11.8 / 49.569%--
1011/07vs#9 Texas logoTexas-0.4 / 40.751%--
1111/14@#3 Georgia logoGeorgia+10.9 / 46.132%--
1211/21vsKentucky logoKentucky-11.6 / 49.869%--
1311/28vs#17 Oklahoma logoOklahoma-3.9 / 38.056%--

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG30.932.4+1.5
Offense YPG393.4419.7+26.3
Offense YPP6.236.28+0.05
Defense PPG19.116.2-2.9
Defense YPG304.6278.7-25.9
Defense YPP4.654.67+0.01

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+7.09
Median (Current)+9.811
Mean (Historical)-0.738
Median (Historical)+5.920

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Missouri replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 5-1 Expected: 4.3 wins Culture Factor: +0.7 (Winners Win)
0-6
0.0%
1-5
0.4%
2-4
4.3%
3-3
16.9%
4-2
33.3%
5-1
32.6%
6-0
12.5%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
8.3
5-7
0.8%
6-6
5.8%
7-5
18.7%
8-4
31.8%
9-3
28.2%
10-2
12.5%
11-1
2.2%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Missouri isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Missouri do with another team's schedule?