| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vs Baylor | -2.7 / 49.1 | 54% | W 17-16 (1-0) | -6.5 ✗ / 58.5 U |
| 2 | 09/12 | vs Southern Miss | -22.7 / 51.2 | 86% | W 43-8 (2-0) | -32.5 ✓ / 56.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs Florida | -3.3 / 50.4 | 55% | L 39-44 (2-1) | +2.5 ✗ / 53.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs Vanderbilt | -5.8 / 47.9 | 59% | W 21-15 (3-1) | -10.0 ✗ / 54.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | @#16  Tennessee | +6.5 / 45.3 | 40% | L 14-24 (3-2) | +6.0 ✗ / 54.5 U |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/17 | @#3  Georgia | +17.1 / 43.0 | 23% | - | +18.5 / 50.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs#12  LSU | +3.8 / 38.5 | 44% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | @#13  Ole Miss | +7.4 / 51.1 | 38% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | vs Arkansas | -9.4 / 44.7 | 65% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ Mississippi State | +2.2 / 52.1 | 46% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vsSamford | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @#3  Alabama | +16.8 / 46.7 | 23% | - | +10.0 / 52.5 |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 24.4 | 26.2 | +1.8 |
| Offense YPG | 391.0 | 378.2 | -12.8 |
| Offense YPP | 5.64 | 5.67 | +0.03 |
| Defense PPG | 23.6 | 17.4 | -6.2 |
| Defense YPG | 360.4 | 323.8 | -36.5 |
| Defense YPP | 5.16 | 4.77 | -0.39 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +7.3 | 5 |
| Median (Current) | +9.8 | 10 |
| Mean (Historical) | +6.2 | 6 |
| Median (Historical) | +7.9 | 10 |
If Auburn replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Auburn isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Auburn do with another team's schedule?