| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vs Texas State | -26.9 / 58.1 | 93% | W 59-7 (1-0) | -29.5 ✓ / 61.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | vs#5  Ohio State | +2.7 / 42.6 | 46% | W 24-23 (2-0) | -2.5 ✗ / 50.5 U |
| 3 | 09/20 | vs UTSA | -21.5 / 50.8 | 84% | W 30-6 (3-0) | -29.5 ✗ / 58.5 U |
| 4 | 09/26 | @#16  Tennessee | -2.7 / 47.6 | 54% | W 20-17 (4-0) | -5.5 ✗ / 54.5 U |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/10 | @#17  Oklahoma | -3.5 / 36.4 | 56% | L 24-27 (4-1) | -7.5 ✗ / 40.5 O |
| 7 | 10/17 | vs Florida | -13.2 / 53.3 | 71% | - | -10.0 / 52.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs#13  Ole Miss | -7.4 / 53.4 | 62% | - | -8.5 / 54.5 |
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Mississippi State | -12.7 / 54.9 | 70% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | @#11  Missouri | +0.4 / 40.7 | 49% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @#12  LSU | +0.4 / 40.3 | 49% | - | -2.5 / 54.5 |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs Arkansas | -18.8 / 48.0 | 80% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | @#20  Texas A&M | -3.6 / 43.4 | 56% | - | -2.5 / 53.5 |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 30.8 | 32.6 | +1.9 |
| Offense YPG | 384.6 | 398.4 | +13.8 |
| Offense YPP | 5.84 | 6.17 | +0.33 |
| Defense PPG | 21.1 | 14.5 | -6.6 |
| Defense YPG | 318.6 | 273.1 | -45.5 |
| Defense YPP | 5.01 | 4.40 | -0.61 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +10.8 | 1 |
| Median (Current) | +13.3 | 2 |
| Mean (Historical) | +10.7 | 1 |
| Median (Historical) | +13.7 | 2 |
If Texas replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Texas isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Texas do with another team's schedule?