Tennessee

BMPR #16 AP #14 Coaches #14 5-1 SEC
Season TimelineCurrent
Power Rating
+14.3
Rank #16
Offense (Adj PPG)
34.8
Rank #16
Defense (Adj PPG)
20.5
Rank #23
Actual Record
5-1
All games played
Projected Wins
8.1
6 games remaining
Expected Wins
4.3
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentPROJ / OUWin%ResultVEGAS ODDS
109/05vsFurman--W 56-9 (1-0)-49.0 ✗ / 66.5 U
209/12@Georgia Tech logoGeorgia Tech-12.9 / 58.171%W 45-24 (2-0)-12.5 ✓ / 55.5 O
309/19vsKennesaw State logoKennesaw State-24.3 / 53.589%W 42-9 (3-0)-35.5 ✗ / 60.5 U
409/26vs#9 Texas logoTexas+2.7 / 47.646%L 17-20 (3-1)+5.5 ✓ / 54.5 U
510/03vsAuburn logoAuburn-6.5 / 45.360%W 24-14 (4-1)-6.0 ✓ / 54.5 U
610/10@Arkansas logoArkansas-9.8 / 56.466%W 24-17 (5-1)-13.5 ✗ / 51.5 U
710/17vs#3 Alabama logoAlabama+8.9 / 57.836%-+7.0 / 55.5
810/24@South Carolina logoSouth Carolina-2.1 / 55.853%--
9IDLE
1011/07vsKentucky logoKentucky-9.1 / 56.965%--
1111/14@#20 Texas A&M logoTexas A&M+1.3 / 52.248%-+8.5 / 55.5
1211/21vs#12 LSU logoLSU+0.4 / 48.949%-+1.5 / 57.5
1311/28@Vanderbilt logoVanderbilt-5.8 / 59.859%--3.0 / 57.5

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG31.134.8+3.7
Offense YPG390.4422.4+32.0
Offense YPP5.836.41+0.58
Defense PPG18.620.5+1.9
Defense YPG343.4338.9-4.5
Defense YPP5.565.28-0.28

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+5.421
Median (Current)+8.323
Mean (Historical)-1.341
Median (Historical)+2.834

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Tennessee replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 5-1 Expected: 4.3 wins Culture Factor: +0.7 (Winners Win)
0-6
0.0%
1-5
0.4%
2-4
4.2%
3-3
17.6%
4-2
34.8%
5-1
32.2%
6-0
10.8%

Projected Wins

Projected Wins
8.1
5-7
1.1%
6-6
7.9%
7-5
21.8%
8-4
31.7%
9-3
25.3%
10-2
10.4%
11-1
1.8%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Tennessee isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Tennessee do with another team's schedule?