BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
Arkansas State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
Arkansas State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.00 |
20.08 (-1.92) |
27.45 |
21.89 (-5.57) |
21.89 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
291.55 |
282.02 (-9.53) |
343.82 |
313.06 (-30.76) |
313.06 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.67 |
4.50 (-0.16) |
5.85 |
5.39 (-0.46) |
5.39 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
34.00 |
38.69 (+4.69) |
33.36 |
34.96 (+1.60) |
34.96 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
432.64 |
474.54 (+41.90) |
430.09 |
431.84 (+1.75) |
431.84 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.16 |
6.62 (+0.46) |
6.19 |
6.30 (+0.11) |
6.30 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Oklahoma |
14.05 |
60.31 |
+46.25 |
74.36 |
0.10% |
L 0-73 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Memphis |
31.29 |
43.11 |
+11.83 |
74.40 |
31.03% |
L 3-37 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Stony Brook |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-7 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Southern Mississippi |
37.54 |
27.22 |
-10.33 |
64.76 |
66.57% |
W 44-37 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@UMass |
38.91 |
31.41 |
-7.50 |
70.32 |
62.03% |
W 52-28 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Troy |
12.38 |
32.65 |
+20.26 |
45.03 |
17.50% |
L 3-37 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Coastal Carolina |
26.64 |
29.34 |
+2.70 |
55.97 |
45.67% |
L 17-27 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Louisiana Monroe |
32.41 |
20.34 |
-12.07 |
52.75 |
69.36% |
W 34-24 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Louisiana |
32.63 |
34.24 |
+1.62 |
66.87 |
47.41% |
W 37-17 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@South Alabama |
20.70 |
37.27 |
+16.57 |
57.97 |
23.42% |
L 14-21 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Texas State |
36.28 |
35.69 |
-0.59 |
71.97 |
50.94% |
W 77-31 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Marshall |
26.15 |
30.76 |
+4.60 |
56.91 |
42.62% |
L 21-35 |
6-6 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-6 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.14% |
| 2-10 |
1.44% |
| 3-9 |
6.26% |
| 4-8 |
15.92% |
| 5-7 |
25.02% |
| 6-6 |
25.21% |
| 7-5 |
16.66% |
| 8-4 |
7.18% |
| 9-3 |
1.85% |
| 10-2 |
0.29% |
| 11-1 |
0.02% |