BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System | FAQ | The Numbers | Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023

NC State 2023 Season Summary

National Average Data

Category 2022 Raw 2023 Raw 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Per Game (PPG) 27.17 26.72 26.72 (+0.00)
Yards Per Game (YPG) 386.24 380.24 380.24 (+0.00)
Yards Per Play (YPP) 5.64 5.71 5.71 (+0.00)

NC State 2023 - Unit Statistics

Offense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Scored per Game (PPG): 22.64 23.62 (+0.98) 25.18 28.22 (+3.03) 28.22 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): 325.82 323.55 (-2.27) 333.09 353.37 (+20.28) 353.37 (+0.00)
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): 4.67 4.67 (-0.00) 5.05 5.31 (+0.26) 5.31 (+0.00)

Defense

Category 2022 Raw 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Raw 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ) 2023 Blended (Δ)
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): 20.91 17.27 (-3.64) 21.36 18.01 (-3.35) 18.01 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): 341.64 310.45 (-31.19) 335.82 318.44 (-17.37) 318.44 (+0.00)
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): 5.35 5.16 (-0.19) 5.56 5.27 (-0.29) 5.27 (+0.00)

Intangibles

Category Measure(s)
Home Field Advantage +2.9

Schedule Analysis

Date Opponent BizMa Points For BizMa Points Against BizMa Spread BizMa O/U BizMa Win % Real Outcome Team Record
2023-08-31 @Connecticut 35.07 8.38 -26.69 43.45 92.81% W 24-14 1-0
2023-09-09 Notre Dame 19.94 31.60 +11.66 51.54 31.29% L 24-45 1-1
2023-09-16 VMI Non-FBS Opponent W 45-7 2-1
2023-09-22 @Virginia 31.68 21.44 -10.25 53.12 66.44% W 24-21 3-1
2023-09-29 Louisville 22.24 23.57 +1.33 45.81 47.86% L 10-13 3-2
2023-10-07 Marshall 35.82 14.07 -21.75 49.88 84.89% W 48-41 4-2
2023-10-15 @Duke 19.11 24.78 +5.67 43.89 40.91% L 3-24 4-3
2023-10-28 Clemson 19.37 21.67 +2.30 41.04 46.31% W 24-17 5-3
2023-11-05 Miami 24.73 23.52 -1.22 48.25 51.95% W 20-6 6-3
2023-11-11 @Wake Forest 27.38 17.79 -9.60 45.17 65.39% W 26-6 7-3
2023-11-18 @Virginia Tech 25.93 23.47 -2.46 49.40 53.95% W 35-28 8-3
2023-11-26 North Carolina 32.02 27.78 -4.23 59.80 56.79% W 39-20 9-3

Season Analysis

Record Probability Ceiling Floor
9-3 100.00% 0.00% 100.00%

Expected Wins Analysis

Record Probability
1-11 0.00%
2-10 0.04%
3-9 0.41%
4-8 2.35%
5-7 7.96%
6-6 17.22%
7-5 24.43%
8-4 23.96%
9-3 15.64%
10-2 6.35%
11-1 1.48%
12-0 0.15%