BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 26, 2023
NC State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.72 |
26.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
380.24 |
380.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.71 |
5.71 (+0.00) |
NC State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.64 |
23.62 (+0.98) |
25.18 |
28.22 (+3.03) |
28.22 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
325.82 |
323.55 (-2.27) |
333.09 |
353.37 (+20.28) |
353.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.67 |
4.67 (-0.00) |
5.05 |
5.31 (+0.26) |
5.31 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
20.91 |
17.27 (-3.64) |
21.36 |
18.01 (-3.35) |
18.01 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
341.64 |
310.45 (-31.19) |
335.82 |
318.44 (-17.37) |
318.44 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.35 |
5.16 (-0.19) |
5.56 |
5.27 (-0.29) |
5.27 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-08-31 |
@Connecticut |
35.07 |
8.38 |
-26.69 |
43.45 |
92.81% |
W 24-14 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Notre Dame |
19.94 |
31.60 |
+11.66 |
51.54 |
31.29% |
L 24-45 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
VMI |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-7 |
2-1 |
| 2023-09-22 |
@Virginia |
31.68 |
21.44 |
-10.25 |
53.12 |
66.44% |
W 24-21 |
3-1 |
| 2023-09-29 |
Louisville |
22.24 |
23.57 |
+1.33 |
45.81 |
47.86% |
L 10-13 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Marshall |
35.82 |
14.07 |
-21.75 |
49.88 |
84.89% |
W 48-41 |
4-2 |
| 2023-10-15 |
@Duke |
19.11 |
24.78 |
+5.67 |
43.89 |
40.91% |
L 3-24 |
4-3 |
| 2023-10-28 |
Clemson |
19.37 |
21.67 |
+2.30 |
41.04 |
46.31% |
W 24-17 |
5-3 |
| 2023-11-05 |
Miami |
24.73 |
23.52 |
-1.22 |
48.25 |
51.95% |
W 20-6 |
6-3 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@Wake Forest |
27.38 |
17.79 |
-9.60 |
45.17 |
65.39% |
W 26-6 |
7-3 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Virginia Tech |
25.93 |
23.47 |
-2.46 |
49.40 |
53.95% |
W 35-28 |
8-3 |
| 2023-11-26 |
North Carolina |
32.02 |
27.78 |
-4.23 |
59.80 |
56.79% |
W 39-20 |
9-3 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 9-3 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.00% |
| 2-10 |
0.04% |
| 3-9 |
0.41% |
| 4-8 |
2.35% |
| 5-7 |
7.96% |
| 6-6 |
17.22% |
| 7-5 |
24.43% |
| 8-4 |
23.96% |
| 9-3 |
15.64% |
| 10-2 |
6.35% |
| 11-1 |
1.48% |
| 12-0 |
0.15% |