| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/31 | vsEastern Michigan | -13.9 | 72% | W 52-27 (1-0) | -14.0 ✓ / 58 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | @UTSA | +5.7 | 41% | W 43-36 (2-0) | +4.5 ✓ / 64 O |
| 3 | 09/14 | @Arizona State | +11.3 | 32% | L 15-34 (2-1) | +18.5 ✗ / 62 U |
| 4 | 09/21 | vsNicholls | - | - | W 35-3 (3-1) | -32.5 ✗ / 57 U |
| 5 | IDLE | |||||
| 6 | 10/04 | @Arkansas State | -7.2 | 62% | L 30-31 (3-2) | -14.0 ✗ / 64 U |
| 7 | 10/12 | vsTroy | -7.3 | 62% | L 41-48 (3-3) | -7.5 ✗ / 54 O |
| 8 | 10/18 | @Marshall | -2.5 | 54% | L 37-40 (3-4) | -3.0 ✗ / 66 O |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 10/29 | vs#18 James Madison | +13.6 | 28% | L 20-52 (3-5) | +7.5 ✗ / 56 O |
| 11 | 11/08 | @Louisiana | -6.9 | 61% | L 39-42 (3-6) | -3.5 ✗ / 62 O |
| 12 | 11/15 | @Southern Miss | -2.9 | 55% | W 41-14 (4-6) | +3.0 ✓ / 66 U |
| 13 | 11/22 | vsUL Monroe | -22.8 | 87% | W 31-14 (5-6) | -20.5 ✗ / 60 U |
| 14 | 11/29 | vsSouth Alabama | -12.3 | 70% | W 49-26 (6-6) | -9.5 ✓ / 62 O |
| POST | 01/02 | vsRice | -18.8 | 80% | W 41-10 (7-6) | -19.5 ✓ / 56 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 37.4 | 32.6 | -4.7 |
| Offense YPG | 526.6 | 449.8 | -76.9 |
| Offense YPP | 7.05 | 6.64 | -0.40 |
| Defense PPG | 30.8 | 34.9 | +4.2 |
| Defense YPG | 409.2 | 446.8 | +37.6 |
| Defense YPP | 5.64 | 6.29 | +0.66 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -4.8 | 114 |
| Median (Current) | -6.1 | 118 |
| Mean (Historical) | -4.9 | 103 |
| Median (Historical) | -6.2 | 107 |
If Texas State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Texas State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Texas State do with another team's schedule?