| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/28 | vsElon | - | - | W 45-17 (1-0) | -36.5 ✗ / 52 O |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsIllinois | +3.3 | 45% | L 19-45 (1-1) | +2.5 ✗ / 49 O |
| 3 | 09/14 | @Tulane | +2.3 | 46% | L 27-34 (1-2) | +1.5 ✗ / 52 O |
| 4 | 09/20 | vsNC State | -4.1 | 57% | W 45-33 (2-2) | -3.0 ✓ / 58 O |
| 5 | 09/27 | @Syracuse | -14.7 | 74% | W 38-3 (3-2) | -4.0 ✓ / 60 U |
| 6 | 10/05 | @California | -7.2 | 62% | W 45-21 (4-2) | -3.5 ✓ / 54 O |
| 7 | IDLE | |||||
| 8 | 10/18 | vsGeorgia Tech | -2.9 | 55% | L 18-27 (4-3) | -3.5 ✗ / 60 U |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/01 | @Clemson | +4.4 | 43% | W 46-45 (5-3) | +4.5 ✓ / 56 O |
| 11 | 11/08 | @UConn | -5.1 | 58% | L 34-37 (5-4) | -7.5 ✗ / 64 O |
| 12 | 11/15 | vsVirginia | +1.9 | 47% | L 17-34 (5-5) | -5.5 ✗ / 60 U |
| 13 | 11/22 | @North Carolina | -11.8 | 69% | W 32-25 (6-5) | -6.5 ✓ / 50 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | vsWake Forest | -4.4 | 57% | W 49-32 (7-5) | -2.5 ✓ / 54 O |
| 15 | 12/07 | @Virginia | +6.9 | 39% | W 27-20 (8-5) | +3.5 ✓ / 58 U |
| POST | 12/31 | vsArizona State | -0.8 | 51% | W 42-39 (9-5) | -4.0 ✗ / 50 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 33.1 | 33.7 | +0.6 |
| Offense YPG | 388.5 | 402.0 | +13.5 |
| Offense YPP | 5.59 | 6.13 | +0.54 |
| Defense PPG | 32.4 | 28.9 | -3.5 |
| Defense YPG | 446.9 | 405.8 | -41.1 |
| Defense YPP | 6.62 | 6.23 | -0.39 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +1.8 | 61 |
| Median (Current) | +4.3 | 40 |
| Mean (Historical) | +2.5 | 56 |
| Median (Historical) | +3.0 | 50 |
If Duke replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Duke isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Duke do with another team's schedule?