Purdue

#91 2-10 Big Ten
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-4.7
Rank #91
Offense (Adj PPG)
23.2
Rank #89
Defense (Adj PPG)
28.2
Rank #79
Actual Record
2-10
All games played
Final Record
2-10
Season complete
Expected Wins
3.8
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30vsBall State-16.677%W 31-0 (1-0)-16.5 ✓ / 50 U
209/06vsSouthern Illinois--W 34-17 (2-0)-19.5 ✗ / 52 U
309/13vs#13 USC+18.420%L 17-33 (2-1)+20.5 ✓ / 60 U
409/20@#4 Notre Dame+31.70%L 30-56 (2-2)+24.5 ✗ / 52 O
5IDLE
610/04vsIllinois+12.230%L 27-43 (2-3)+7.5 ✗ / 56 O
710/11@Minnesota+6.040%L 20-27 (2-4)+7.5 ✓ / 50 U
810/18@Northwestern+10.633%L 0-19 (2-5)+3.0 ✗ / 48 U
910/25vsRutgers+3.145%L 24-27 (2-6)-2.5 ✗ / 60 U
1011/01@#25 Michigan+19.519%L 16-21 (2-7)+21.0 ✓ / 48 U
1111/08vs#2 Ohio State+29.23%L 10-34 (2-8)+29.5 ✓ / 50 U
1211/16@#20 Washington+20.517%L 13-49 (2-9)+14.5 ✗ / 52 O
13IDLE
1411/29vs#3 Indiana+33.70%L 3-56 (2-10)+28.5 ✗ / 54 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG14.123.2+9.1
Offense YPG312.9373.7+60.8
Offense YPP5.065.79+0.74
Defense PPG34.528.2-6.3
Defense YPG444.6397.1-47.5
Defense YPP7.066.43-0.62

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+8.22
Median (Current)+9.34
Mean (Historical)+8.09
Median (Historical)+8.613

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Purdue replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 2-10 Expected: 3.8 wins Culture Factor: -1.8 (Underperforming)
0-12
0.1%
1-11
2.3%
2-10
12.6%
3-9
27.0%
4-8
29.6%
5-7
19.0%
6-6
7.5%
7-5
1.7%
8-4
0.2%
9-3
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
2
0-12
0.0%
1-11
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Purdue isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Purdue do with another team's schedule?