| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsHoly Cross | - | - | W 19-17 (1-0) | -13.5 ✗ / 48 U |
| 2 | 09/05 | @Maryland | +13.9 | 28% | L 9-20 (1-1) | +17.0 ✓ / 44 U |
| 3 | IDLE | |||||
| 4 | 09/20 | @Mississippi State | +19.2 | 19% | L 10-38 (1-2) | +23.5 ✗ / 48 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | vsSan Diego State | +13.4 | 28% | L 3-6 (1-3) | +1.5 ✗ / 42 U |
| 6 | 10/04 | vsMiami (OH) | +6.2 | 40% | L 14-25 (1-4) | +4.5 ✗ / 38 O |
| 7 | 10/11 | @Eastern Michigan | +5.5 | 41% | L 10-16 (1-5) | -1.5 ✗ / 48 U |
| 8 | 10/18 | @Ohio | +13.8 | 28% | L 21-48 (1-6) | +10.5 ✗ / 42 O |
| 9 | 10/25 | vsBall State | -7.0 | 61% | W 21-7 (2-6) | -6.5 ✓ / 42 U |
| 10 | IDLE | |||||
| 11 | 11/06 | @Toledo | +21.7 | 15% | L 3-42 (2-7) | +14.5 ✗ / 42 O |
| 12 | 11/13 | @Massachusetts | -14.3 | 73% | W 45-3 (3-7) | -8.5 ✓ / 44 O |
| 13 | 11/19 | vsWestern Michigan | +7.5 | 38% | L 19-35 (3-8) | +7.0 ✗ / 40 O |
| 14 | 11/28 | vsKent State | -2.4 | 54% | L 31-35 (3-9) | -5.0 ✗ / 45 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 20.5 | 15.4 | -5.1 |
| Offense YPG | 298.4 | 272.0 | -26.4 |
| Offense YPP | 4.98 | 4.68 | -0.30 |
| Defense PPG | 26.4 | 29.2 | +2.8 |
| Defense YPG | 370.6 | 399.1 | +28.5 |
| Defense YPP | 5.64 | 5.99 | +0.36 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -5.8 | 121 |
| Median (Current) | -2.6 | 91 |
| Mean (Historical) | -6.7 | 119 |
| Median (Historical) | -7.5 | 120 |
If Northern Illinois replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Northern Illinois isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Northern Illinois do with another team's schedule?