| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/30 | vsMaine | - | - | W 28-7 (1-0) | -25.5 ✗ / 51 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | @Jacksonville State | +2.6 | 46% | L 24-34 (1-1) | -6.0 ✗ / 50 O |
| 3 | 09/13 | @Bowling Green | -2.5 | 54% | L 13-23 (1-2) | -6.0 ✗ / 52 U |
| 4 | 09/20 | vs#18 James Madison | +17.6 | 22% | L 13-31 (1-3) | +7.5 ✗ / 46 U |
| 5 | 09/27 | @Old Dominion | +16.0 | 24% | L 7-21 (1-4) | +14.5 ✓ / 54 U |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/09 | @UTEP | -6.0 | 60% | W 19-8 (2-4) | -1.5 ✓ / 46 U |
| 8 | 10/14 | vsNew Mexico State | -8.9 | 64% | W 30-27 (3-4) | -10.5 ✗ / 48 O |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/01 | vsDelaware | -6.1 | 60% | W 59-30 (4-4) | -3.5 ✓ / 52 O |
| 11 | 11/08 | vsMissouri State | -2.3 | 54% | L 17-21 (4-5) | -7.5 ✗ / 52 U |
| 12 | 11/15 | @Florida International | +2.5 | 46% | L 27-34 (4-6) | -2.5 ✗ / 52 O |
| 13 | 11/22 | @Louisiana Tech | +8.1 | 37% | L 28-34 (4-7) | -1.5 ✗ / 46 O |
| 14 | 11/29 | vsKennesaw State | +4.1 | 43% | L 42-48 (4-8) | +2.5 ✗ / 56 O |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 28.6 | 22.6 | -6.0 |
| Offense YPG | 376.2 | 353.7 | -22.5 |
| Offense YPP | 5.84 | 5.54 | -0.30 |
| Defense PPG | 27.9 | 30.7 | +2.8 |
| Defense YPG | 346.9 | 378.8 | +32.0 |
| Defense YPP | 5.54 | 5.87 | +0.33 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | -4.6 | 111 |
| Median (Current) | -5.9 | 111 |
| Mean (Historical) | -4.5 | 99 |
| Median (Historical) | -7.0 | 115 |
If Liberty replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Liberty isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Liberty do with another team's schedule?