James Madison

#18 12-2 Sun Belt
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+11.2
Rank #18 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
31.0
Rank #30
Defense (Adj PPG)
18.7
Rank #19
Actual Record
12-2
All games played
Final Record
12-2
Season complete
Expected Wins
10.8
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30vsWeber State--W 45-10 (1-0)-26.5 ✓ / 54 O
209/05@Louisville-1.152%L 14-28 (1-1)+15.0 ✓ / 57 U
3IDLE
409/20@Liberty-17.678%W 31-13 (2-1)-7.5 ✓ / 46 U
509/27vsGeorgia Southern-27.394%W 35-10 (3-1)-14.5 ✓ / 54 U
610/04@Georgia State-26.893%W 14-7 (4-1)-19.5 ✗ / 52 U
710/11vsLouisiana-25.591%W 24-14 (5-1)-18.5 ✗ / 44 U
810/18vsOld Dominion-9.165%W 63-27 (6-1)-3.0 ✓ / 48 O
9IDLE
1010/29@Texas State-13.672%W 52-20 (7-1)-7.5 ✓ / 56 O
1111/08@Marshall-17.077%W 35-23 (8-1)-13.5 ✗ / 54 O
1211/15vsApp State-26.693%W 58-10 (9-1)-21.0 ✓ / 54 O
1311/22vsWashington State-9.465%W 24-20 (10-1)-15.0 ✗ / 44 U
1411/29@Coastal Carolina-25.491%W 59-10 (11-1)-24.0 ✓ / 54 O
1512/06vsTroy-20.383%W 31-14 (12-1)-24.5 ✗ / 48 U
POST12/21@#7 Oregon+13.429%L 34-51 (12-2)+22.5 ✓ / 48 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG44.531.0-13.5
Offense YPG489.9393.7-96.1
Offense YPP7.166.10-1.07
Defense PPG21.918.7-3.2
Defense YPG296.6276.0-20.7
Defense YPP4.754.63-0.12

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-2.187
Median (Current)-4.198
Mean (Historical)-4.6101
Median (Historical)-6.5111

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If James Madison replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 12-2 Expected: 10.8 wins Culture Factor: +1.2 (Winners Win)
4-10
0.0%
5-9
0.0%
6-8
0.2%
7-7
1.1%
8-6
4.7%
9-5
12.2%
10-4
22.6%
11-3
28.1%
12-2
21.0%
13-1
8.6%
14-0
1.4%

Final Record

Final Wins
12
8-6
0.0%
9-5
0.0%
10-4
0.0%
11-3
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game James Madison isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would James Madison do with another team's schedule?