UTEP

#130 2-10 Conference USA
Historical View Current
Power Rating
-14.5
Rank #130
Offense (Adj PPG)
18.2
Rank #119
Defense (Adj PPG)
34.0
Rank #119
Actual Record
2-10
All games played
Final Record
2-10
Season complete
Expected Wins
5.0
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30@Utah State+18.920%L 16-28 (0-1)+3.5 ✗ / 60 U
209/07vsUT Martin--W 42-17 (1-1)-7.5 ✓ / 50 O
309/13@#22 Texas+30.81%L 10-27 (1-2)+39.5 ✓ / 52 U
409/21vsUL Monroe-5.659%L 25-31 (1-3)-5.5 ✗ / 48 O
509/28vsLouisiana Tech+9.934%L 11-30 (1-4)+3.5 ✗ / 48 U
6IDLE
710/09vsLiberty+6.040%L 8-19 (1-5)+1.5 ✗ / 46 U
810/15@Sam Houston-5.358%W 35-17 (2-5)-3.5 ✓ / 46 O
9IDLE
1010/29@Kennesaw State+16.523%L 20-33 (2-6)+12.5 ✗ / 54 U
1111/08vsJacksonville State+5.242%L 27-30 (2-7)+1.5 ✗ / 46 O
1211/15@Missouri State+10.833%L 24-38 (2-8)+6.5 ✗ / 48 O
1311/22vsNew Mexico State-0.951%L 31-34 (2-9)-4.0 ✗ / 44 O
1411/29@Delaware+7.039%L 31-61 (2-10)+4.5 ✗ / 56 O

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG23.418.2-5.2
Offense YPG263.1260.7-2.4
Offense YPP4.414.14-0.27
Defense PPG32.834.0+1.2
Defense YPG371.4393.8+22.4
Defense YPP5.275.68+0.41

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-6.2127
Median (Current)-6.2120
Mean (Historical)-6.6118
Median (Historical)-7.7122

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If UTEP replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 2-10 Expected: 5.0 wins Culture Factor: -3.0 (Underperforming)
0-12
0.0%
1-11
0.7%
2-10
4.0%
3-9
12.1%
4-8
22.0%
5-7
26.0%
6-6
20.0%
7-5
10.6%
8-4
3.7%
9-3
0.8%
10-2
0.1%
11-1
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
2
0-12
0.0%
1-11
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game UTEP isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would UTEP do with another team's schedule?