Old Dominion

#46 10-3 Sun Belt
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+4.6
Rank #46
Offense (Adj PPG)
27.2
Rank #56
Defense (Adj PPG)
22.0
Rank #38
Actual Record
10-3
All games played
Final Record
10-3
Season complete
Expected Wins
8.6
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/30@#3 Indiana+28.74%L 14-27 (0-1)+23.5 ✓ / 54 U
209/06vsNorth Carolina Central--W 54-6 (1-1)-22.0 ✓ / 50 O
309/13@Virginia Tech-8.063%W 45-26 (2-1)+5.5 ✓ / 50 O
4IDLE
509/27vsLiberty-16.076%W 21-7 (3-1)-14.5 ✗ / 54 U
610/04vsCoastal Carolina-23.187%W 47-7 (4-1)-18.5 ✓ / 54 O
710/11@Marshall-9.465%L 24-48 (4-2)-14.5 ✗ / 58 O
810/18@#18 James Madison+9.135%L 27-63 (4-3)+3.0 ✗ / 48 O
910/25vsApp State-19.782%W 24-21 (5-3)-12.5 ✗ / 60 U
1011/01@UL Monroe-22.185%W 31-6 (6-3)-16.5 ✓ / 56 U
11IDLE
1211/14vsTroy-13.371%W 33-0 (7-3)-9.5 ✓ / 54 U
1311/22@Georgia Southern-14.874%W 45-10 (8-3)-10.0 ✓ / 62 U
1411/29vsGeorgia State-25.190%W 27-10 (9-3)-29.0 ✗ / 58 U
POST12/17@#13 South Florida+10.433%W 24-10 (10-3)+4.0 ✓ / 52 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG29.427.2-2.2
Offense YPG412.8414.0+1.3
Offense YPP6.016.54+0.53
Defense PPG21.022.0+1.0
Defense YPG337.6351.8+14.2
Defense YPP4.975.06+0.09

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)-2.690
Median (Current)-6.6125
Mean (Historical)-7.6128
Median (Historical)-6.9114

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Old Dominion replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 10-3 Expected: 8.6 wins Culture Factor: +1.4 (Winners Win)
2-11
0.0%
3-10
0.0%
4-9
0.3%
5-8
1.4%
6-7
5.5%
7-6
13.9%
8-5
24.2%
9-4
27.2%
10-3
18.9%
11-2
7.3%
12-1
1.2%
13-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
10
6-7
0.0%
7-6
0.0%
8-5
0.0%
9-4
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Old Dominion isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Old Dominion do with another team's schedule?