
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Proj | Win% | Result | LINE / OU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/28 | @#13 South Florida | +9.8 | 34% | L 7-34 (0-1) | -8.5 ✗ / 64 U |
| 2 | 09/06 | vsEastern Washington | - | - | W 51-14 (1-1) | -33.5 ✓ / 60 O |
| 3 | IDLE | |||||
| 4 | 09/20 | @Air Force | -10.2 | 66% | W 49-37 (2-1) | -10.5 ✓ / 52 O |
| 5 | 09/27 | vsApp State | -19.9 | 82% | W 47-14 (3-1) | -16.5 ✓ / 60 O |
| 6 | 10/04 | @#4 Notre Dame | +20.7 | 17% | L 7-28 (3-2) | +21.5 ✓ / 64 U |
| 7 | 10/12 | vsNew Mexico | -6.6 | 61% | W 41-25 (4-2) | -14.5 ✓ / 58 O |
| 8 | 10/18 | vsUNLV | -7.3 | 62% | W 56-31 (5-2) | -12.5 ✓ / 60 O |
| 9 | 10/25 | @Nevada | -14.4 | 73% | W 24-3 (6-2) | -20.5 ✓ / 52 U |
| 10 | 11/01 | vsFresno State | -10.4 | 67% | L 7-30 (6-3) | -17.5 ✗ / 48 U |
| 11 | IDLE | |||||
| 12 | 11/16 | @San Diego State | +1.2 | 48% | L 7-17 (6-4) | +1.5 ✗ / 42 U |
| 13 | 11/23 | vsColorado State | -20.1 | 82% | W 49-21 (7-4) | -17.5 ✓ / 46 O |
| 14 | 11/28 | @Utah State | -3.8 | 56% | W 25-24 (8-4) | -1.5 ✗ / 54 U |
| 15 | 12/06 | vsUNLV | -7.3 | 62% | W 38-21 (9-4) | -6.0 ✓ / 60 U |
| POST | 12/14 | @#20 Washington | +9.9 | 34% | L 10-38 (9-5) | +9.5 ✗ / 56 U |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 27.0 | 28.5 | +1.5 |
| Offense YPG | 388.0 | 394.9 | +6.9 |
| Offense YPP | 5.57 | 5.63 | +0.05 |
| Defense PPG | 23.1 | 22.5 | -0.6 |
| Defense YPG | 336.9 | 321.0 | -15.9 |
| Defense YPP | 5.49 | 5.41 | -0.08 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +1.3 | 67 |
| Median (Current) | +2.0 | 57 |
| Mean (Historical) | -1.3 | 78 |
| Median (Historical) | -1.1 | 76 |
If Boise State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Boise State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Boise State do with another team's schedule?