Boise State

#38 9-5 Mountain West
Historical View Current
Power Rating
+5.6
Rank #38 (T)
Offense (Adj PPG)
28.5
Rank #50
Defense (Adj PPG)
22.5
Rank #44
Actual Record
9-5
All games played
Final Record
9-5
Season complete
Expected Wins
8.4
Based on ratings

Schedule

WkDateOpponentProjWin%ResultLINE / OU
108/28@#13 South Florida+9.834%L 7-34 (0-1)-8.5 ✗ / 64 U
209/06vsEastern Washington--W 51-14 (1-1)-33.5 ✓ / 60 O
3IDLE
409/20@Air Force-10.266%W 49-37 (2-1)-10.5 ✓ / 52 O
509/27vsApp State-19.982%W 47-14 (3-1)-16.5 ✓ / 60 O
610/04@#4 Notre Dame+20.717%L 7-28 (3-2)+21.5 ✓ / 64 U
710/12vsNew Mexico-6.661%W 41-25 (4-2)-14.5 ✓ / 58 O
810/18vsUNLV-7.362%W 56-31 (5-2)-12.5 ✓ / 60 O
910/25@Nevada-14.473%W 24-3 (6-2)-20.5 ✓ / 52 U
1011/01vsFresno State-10.467%L 7-30 (6-3)-17.5 ✗ / 48 U
11IDLE
1211/16@San Diego State+1.248%L 7-17 (6-4)+1.5 ✗ / 42 U
1311/23vsColorado State-20.182%W 49-21 (7-4)-17.5 ✓ / 46 O
1411/28@Utah State-3.856%W 25-24 (8-4)-1.5 ✗ / 54 U
1512/06vsUNLV-7.362%W 38-21 (9-4)-6.0 ✓ / 60 U
POST12/14@#20 Washington+9.934%L 10-38 (9-5)+9.5 ✗ / 56 U

Unit Breakdown

UnitRawAdjDelta
Offense PPG27.028.5+1.5
Offense YPG388.0394.9+6.9
Offense YPP5.575.63+0.05
Defense PPG23.122.5-0.6
Defense YPG336.9321.0-15.9
Defense YPP5.495.41-0.08

Strength of Schedule

MetricValueRank
Mean (Current)+1.367
Median (Current)+2.057
Mean (Historical)-1.378
Median (Historical)-1.176

View full SOS rankings

Expected Wins (Retrospective)

If Boise State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?

Actual: 9-5 Expected: 8.4 wins Culture Factor: +0.6 (Winners Win)
1-13
0.0%
2-12
0.0%
3-11
0.2%
4-10
0.8%
5-9
3.2%
6-8
8.4%
7-7
16.6%
8-6
22.8%
9-5
22.5%
10-4
15.6%
11-3
7.2%
12-2
2.2%
13-1
0.4%
14-0
0.0%

Final Record

Final Wins
9
5-9
0.0%
6-8
0.0%
7-7
0.0%
8-6
100.0%

Entertaining Hypotheticals

Fantasy Matchup

Model a game Boise State isn't playing this year. Who would win?

Schedule Swap

How would Boise State do with another team's schedule?