| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vs East Carolina | -27.8 / 55.9 | 95% | W 48-10 (1-0) | -28.0 ✓ / 52.5 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Kentucky | -15.5 / 58.7 | 75% | W 45-17 (2-0) | -8.0 ✓ / 47.0 O |
| 3 | 09/19 | vs Florida State | -22.3 / 59.1 | 86% | W 50-36 (3-0) | -18.5 ✗ / 50.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs South Carolina | -18.4 / 57.3 | 80% | W 49-18 (4-0) | -12.5 ✓ / 53.5 O |
| 5 | 10/03 | @ Mississippi State | -14.7 / 66.1 | 74% | W 56-23 (5-0) | -5.5 ✓ / 62.5 O |
| 6 | 10/10 | vs#3  Georgia | -1.4 / 53.4 | 52% | L 17-20 (5-1) | -2.5 ✗ / 51.5 U |
| 7 | 10/17 | @#16  Tennessee | -8.9 / 57.8 | 64% | - | -7.0 / 55.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs#20  Texas A&M | -14.4 / 53.5 | 73% | - | -2.5 / 54.5 |
| 9 | IDLE | |||||
| 10 | 11/07 | @#12  LSU | -5.1 / 49.7 | 58% | - | +3.5 / 54.5 |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ Vanderbilt | -17.8 / 61.5 | 79% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vsChattanooga | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | 11/28 | vs Auburn | -16.8 / 46.7 | 77% | - | -10.0 / 52.5 |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 37.8 | 41.7 | +4.0 |
| Offense YPG | 451.0 | 461.3 | +10.3 |
| Offense YPP | 6.19 | 7.07 | +0.88 |
| Defense PPG | 23.2 | 16.0 | -7.2 |
| Defense YPG | 442.9 | 304.2 | -138.7 |
| Defense YPP | 5.60 | 5.06 | -0.54 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +7.0 | 8 |
| Median (Current) | +9.3 | 16 |
| Mean (Historical) | +9.9 | 2 |
| Median (Historical) | +7.8 | 11 |
If Alabama replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Alabama isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Alabama do with another team's schedule?