| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09/05 | vs UL Monroe | -36.9 / 65.2 | 100% | W 62-13 (1-0) | -28.5 ✓ / 55.0 O |
| 2 | 09/12 | @ Minnesota | -8.0 / 56.4 | 63% | W 38-13 (2-0) | -1.5 ✓ / 53.5 U |
| 3 | 09/19 | @ South Carolina | +2.7 / 63.4 | 46% | W 41-34 (3-0) | +3.0 ✓ / 59.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vs#11  Missouri | +5.4 / 56.8 | 41% | W 31-24 (4-0) | -3.5 ✓ / 58.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs#3  Alabama | +14.7 / 66.1 | 26% | L 23-56 (4-1) | +5.5 ✗ / 62.5 O |
| 6 | IDLE | |||||
| 7 | 10/17 | @#12  LSU | +10.3 / 56.3 | 33% | - | +10.5 / 59.5 |
| 8 | 10/24 | vs#17  Oklahoma | +3.3 / 51.5 | 45% | - | - |
| 9 | 10/31 | @#9  Texas | +12.7 / 54.9 | 30% | - | - |
| 10 | 11/07 | vs Vanderbilt | -5.9 / 67.7 | 59% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | vs Auburn | -2.2 / 52.1 | 54% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vsTennessee Tech | - | - | - | - |
| 13 | 11/27 | @#13  Ole Miss | +8.6 / 71.4 | 36% | - | +14.5 / 57.5 |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 32.8 | 36.3 | +3.6 |
| Offense YPG | 438.4 | 461.4 | +23.0 |
| Offense YPP | 6.11 | 6.53 | +0.42 |
| Defense PPG | 33.5 | 26.1 | -7.4 |
| Defense YPG | 430.0 | 376.4 | -53.6 |
| Defense YPP | 6.32 | 5.64 | -0.68 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +6.1 | 18 |
| Median (Current) | +11.8 | 4 |
| Mean (Historical) | +4.3 | 8 |
| Median (Historical) | +9.8 | 5 |
If Mississippi State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Mississippi State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Mississippi State do with another team's schedule?