| Wk | Date | Opponent | PROJ / OU | Win% | Result | VEGAS ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08/29 | vs New Mexico State | -21.8 / 53.5 | 85% | W 34-17 (1-0) | -31.0 ✗ / 53.5 U |
| 1 | 09/07 | vs SMU | -4.2 / 57.6 | 57% | L 24-27 (1-1) | +3.0 P / 54.5 U |
| 2 | IDLE | |||||
| 3 | 09/19 | @#3  Alabama | +22.3 / 59.1 | 14% | L 36-50 (1-2) | +18.5 ✓ / 50.5 O |
| 4 | 09/26 | vsCentral Arkansas | - | - | W 34-7 (2-2) | -45.5 ✗ / 62.5 U |
| 5 | 10/03 | vs Virginia | -5.6 / 51.9 | 59% | W 38-7 (3-2) | +1.5 ✓ / 51.5 U |
| 6 | 10/09 | @ Louisville | +4.3 / 60.3 | 43% | L 20-44 (3-3) | +4.5 ✗ / 60.5 O |
| 7 | 10/17 | @#6  Miami | +20.9 / 50.5 | 17% | - | +21.0 / 56.5 |
| 8 | IDLE | |||||
| 9 | 10/31 | vs Clemson | -7.1 / 51.4 | 61% | - | +1.5 / 51.5 |
| 10 | 11/07 | @ Boston College | -12.8 / 51.6 | 71% | - | - |
| 11 | 11/14 | @ Pittsburgh | +2.9 / 55.2 | 45% | - | - |
| 12 | 11/21 | vs NC State | -10.6 / 60.4 | 67% | - | - |
| 13 | 11/27 | vs Florida | -0.1 / 63.3 | 50% | - | +4.5 / 52.5 |
| Unit | Raw | Adj | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPG | 27.2 | 31.2 | +4.0 |
| Offense YPG | 418.6 | 454.5 | +35.9 |
| Offense YPP | 6.49 | 6.93 | +0.44 |
| Defense PPG | 27.5 | 24.3 | -3.2 |
| Defense YPG | 371.9 | 311.2 | -60.7 |
| Defense YPP | 6.01 | 5.78 | -0.23 |
| Metric | Value | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Mean (Current) | +2.6 | 33 |
| Median (Current) | +4.5 | 37 |
| Mean (Historical) | +0.2 | 24 |
| Median (Historical) | +8.0 | 9 |
If Florida State replayed this schedule with current unit ratings, how would they do?
Model a game Florida State isn't playing this year. Who would win?
How would Florida State do with another team's schedule?